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Fenerbahce vs Pogon Szczecin

World World

Club Friendly Getränke Hoffmann Stadion
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fenerbahce play Pogon Szczecin in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fenerbahce averaged 2 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Pogon Szczecin averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Fenerbahce won 0, Pogon Szczecin won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 0-0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Fenerbahce and 1.50 for Pogon Szczecin. This points to a Fenerbahce double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fenerbahce
6%
Draws
4%
Pogon Szczecin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fenerbahce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fenerbahce has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pogon Szczecin.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Fenerbahce.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 16%
Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenerbahce Pogon Szczecin
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 18 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Fenerbahce vs Pogon Szczecin
0-0
Apr 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Pogon Szczecin vs Fenerbahce
2-1
Mar 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Fenerbahce vs Pogon Szczecin
0-0
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Pogon Szczecin vs Fenerbahce
2-0
Jan 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Fenerbahce vs Pogon Szczecin
1-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenerbahce 84 / 100
Pogon Szczecin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenerbahce Pogon Szczecin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenerbahce scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Pogon Szczecin let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Fenerbahce went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pogon Szczecin lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fenerbahce VS Pogon Szczecin
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%