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Fenerbahce vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly Getränke Hoffmann Stadion, Spelle
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Under C.
Assist: Fred
23' Event
Musaba A.
46'
Sub
Gunok M. In: Cetin T.
Out: Gunok M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Fenerbahce and Pogon Szczecin finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fenerbahce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fenerbahce
35%
Draws
32%
Pogon Szczecin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fenerbahce come out ahead of Pogon Szczecin on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fenerbahce a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenerbahce Pogon Szczecin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.24 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Fenerbahce vs Pogon Szczecin
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenerbahce Compare

Top Goalscorer Cherif S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Under C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pogon Szczecin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenerbahce 85 / 100
Pogon Szczecin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenerbahce Pogon Szczecin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenerbahce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenerbahce's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Pogon Szczecin let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Fenerbahce went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fenerbahce VS Pogon Szczecin
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenerbahce

(Home)
03 Oct
Turan
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
20 Sept
Fenerbahce
8 : 0
Eyupspor
14 Sept
Gaziantep
0 : 0
Fenerbahce
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
AS Roma
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2
Besiktas
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Pogon Szczecin

(Away)
26 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1
Udinese
20 Sept
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2
Pogon Szczecin
13 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 0
KS Wieczysta Krakow
07 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1
Wisla Plock
03 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1
Pogon Szczecin
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