Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fenix Mariupol vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Kolos Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fenix Mariupol play Ahrobiznes Volochysk in the Persha Liga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fenix Mariupol averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. Ahrobiznes Volochysk averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Fenix Mariupol won 1, Ahrobiznes Volochysk won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Fenix Mariupol and 0.81 for Ahrobiznes Volochysk. This points to a Ahrobiznes Volochysk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Fenix Mariupol
31%
Draws
35%
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Fenix Mariupol picked up more points recently compared to Ahrobiznes Volochysk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 26%
Ahrobiznes Volochysk Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenix Mariupol Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk
4:0
Oct 14, 2025 Persha Liga
Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Fenix Mariupol
1:0
May 24, 2024 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Persha Liga
Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Fenix Mariupol
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenix Mariupol Compare

Top Goalscorer Kukharuk A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kyslenko S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ahrobiznes Volochysk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenix Mariupol 36 / 100
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenix Mariupol Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ahrobiznes Volochysk or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fenix Mariupol attacking → ← attacking Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenix Mariupol scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Ahrobiznes Volochysk let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Fenix Mariupol went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ahrobiznes Volochysk lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 43
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bukovyna30263174:2181
2Ch. Odesa30198344:2065
3Livyi Bereg30196550:2163
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk30165936:2853
5Inhulets301210841:3246
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)309101133:3337
7Metalist Kharkiv301071331:3537
8Probiy Horodenka301061429:3736
9Fenix Mariupol30991231:3236
10Victoria301061437:3836
11UCSA301061430:4036
12Nyva Ternopil308101224:3434
13FC Chernihiv30871530:3631
14Vorskla Poltava30791423:3630
15FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi30491720:4521
16MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya30471916:6119
17Minaj00000:00