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Fenix Mariupol vs Kolos Kovalivka 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga Kolos Stadium, Kovalivka
Fenix Mariupol Logo

Fenix Mariupol

3 - 1
FT
Kolos Kovalivka 2 Logo

Kolos Kovalivka 2

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Maletsky P.
44'
Malaki O.
46'
Sub
Stargorodskyi M. In: Lyubko V.
Out: Stargorodskyi M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga game between Fenix Mariupol and Kolos Kovalivka 2 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fenix Mariupol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Fenix Mariupol
20%
Draws
28%
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fenix Mariupol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kolos Kovalivka 2 come out ahead of Fenix Mariupol on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Fenix Mariupol taking it.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 68%
Kolos Kovalivka 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenix Mariupol Kolos Kovalivka 2
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 3
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Kolos Kovalivka 2
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenix Mariupol Compare

Top Goalscorer Maletsky P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kyslenko S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Kolos Kovalivka 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Taranukha R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenix Mariupol 95 / 100
Kolos Kovalivka 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenix Mariupol Kolos Kovalivka 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenix Mariupol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Fenix Mariupol went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Fenix Mariupol scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Kolos Kovalivka 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fenix Mariupol VS Kolos Kovalivka 2
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenix Mariupol

(Home)
11 Oct
UCSA
1 : 2
Fenix Mariupol
05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Fenix Mariupol
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Kolos Kovalivka 2

(Away)
11 Oct
Nyva Ternopil
3 : 1
Kolos Kovalivka 2
04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka 2
0 : 2
Oleksandriya
28 Sept
Zhytomyr 2
0 : 3
Kolos Kovalivka 2
19 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
4 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
12 Sept
Kulikiv
5 : 0
Kolos Kovalivka 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 11 6 2 3 18:14 20
3 Oleksandriya 11 5 4 2 16:10 19
4 SC Poltava 11 5 3 3 18:10 18
5 Fenix Mariupol 11 5 3 3 14:12 18
6 Kulikiv 10 5 2 3 20:11 17
7 Lokomotyv Kyiv 11 4 4 3 15:13 16
8 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
9 Metalist Kharkiv 11 4 3 4 13:13 15
10 Inhulets 10 4 2 4 10:12 14
11 Kolos Kovalivka 2 10 4 0 6 11:17 12
12 Nyva Ternopil 10 2 5 3 9:9 11
13 UCSA 11 2 4 5 15:19 10
14 FC Chernihiv 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 11 2 2 7 11:29 8
16 Zhytomyr 2 10 1 4 5 14:20 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)