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Fenix Mariupol vs Kremin Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2024/2025 Kolos Stadium, Kovalivka
Fri, Sep 27, 2024
3 - 0
11:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Zubkov I.
(Penalty)
29'
Palamarchuk I.
29'
Baydal A.

AI Match Summary

Fenix Mariupol host Kremin in the Persha Liga 2024/2025. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Fenix Mariupol at 1.57 goals for, 1.07 against; Kremin at 0.63 for, 1.7 against. Head-to-head, Fenix Mariupol have won 3 to Kremin's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 27, 2024, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 0.69) point toward Fenix Mariupol. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Fenix Mariupol
35%
Draws
13%
Kremin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fenix Mariupol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Fenix Mariupol have won more games recently than Kremin.
  • Fenix Mariupol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Persha Liga 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 20%
Kremin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenix Mariupol Kremin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.57 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2024 Persha Liga
Kremin vs Fenix Mariupol
3:0
Sep 27, 2024 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Kremin
3:0
Nov 25, 2023 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Kremin
1:0
Sep 24, 2023 Persha Liga
Kremin vs Fenix Mariupol
0:3
May 7, 2022 Druha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Kremin
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenix Mariupol Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogdanov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Kremin Compare

Top Goalscorer Molko V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenix Mariupol 85 / 100
Kremin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenix Mariupol Kremin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenix Mariupol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fenix Mariupol scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Kremin has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Fenix Mariupol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fenix Mariupol VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenix Mariupol

(Home)
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2
Zorya
05 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
1 : 1
Kulikiv
Page 1 of 6

Kremin

(Away)
23 May
Kremin
0 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
17 May
Minaj
3 : 0
Kremin
11 May
Kremin
0 : 0
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
03 May
Nyva Ternopil
3 : 1
Kremin
19 Apr
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 1
Kremin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Epitsentr 14 8 5 1 21:7 29
2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 14 9 1 4 16:13 28
3 Metalist Kharkiv 14 6 4 4 20:11 22
4 Bukovyna 14 5 5 4 11:11 20
5 Nyva Ternopil 14 4 4 6 13:17 16
6 Minaj 14 4 4 6 12:20 16
7 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 14 3 4 7 14:18 13
8 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 14 1 5 8 9:19 8
9 Khust 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kudrivka 16 9 4 3 22:12 31
2 FC Kharkiv 16 8 5 3 21:10 29
3 SC Poltava 16 8 5 3 24:14 29
4 UCSA 16 8 4 4 31:21 28
5 Victoria 16 6 5 5 23:12 23
6 Fenix Mariupol 16 5 3 8 17:23 18
7 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 16 4 5 7 15:22 17
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 16 3 4 9 12:28 13
9 Kremin 16 2 3 11 9:32 9
Promotion - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)