Sport Picks
Fenix Mariupol vs Nyva Ternopil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Persha Liga Kolos Stadium, Kovalivka 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Gunichev Y. In: Kovalyuk R.
Out: Gunichev Y.
46'
46'
Sub
Remenyak A. In: Synytsya O.
Out: Remenyak A.
59'
59'
Sub
Kyslenko S. In: Grytsak N.
Out: Kyslenko S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Persha Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fenix Mariupol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Fenix Mariupol have won more games recently than Nyva Ternopil.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 68%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fenix Mariupol | Nyva Ternopil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 5, 2026 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Nyva Ternopil
0:0
May 9, 2026 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Fenix Mariupol
0:3
Mar 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Nyva Ternopil vs Fenix Mariupol
3:2
Oct 19, 2025 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Nyva Ternopil
0:2
May 23, 2025 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Nyva Ternopil
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fenix Mariupol 41 / 100
Nyva Ternopil 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fenix Mariupol Nyva Ternopil
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fenix Mariupol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fenix Mariupol found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Nyva Ternopil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Fenix Mariupol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fenix Mariupol VS Nyva Ternopil
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fenix Mariupol
(Home) 05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1 Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1 Zhytomyr 2
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2 Zorya
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
20 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1 Zhytomyr 2
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2 Zorya
05 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
1 : 1 Kulikiv
16 Aug
Fenix Mariupol
3 : 1 Kolos Kovalivka 2
Page 1 of 3
Nyva Ternopil
(Away) 05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 0 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3 Nyva Ternopil
13 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 2 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3 Nyva Ternopil
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
30 Aug
Metalist Kharkiv
1 : 1 Nyva Ternopil
16 Aug
Inhulets
1 : 2 Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Oleksandriya | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 19 |
| 3 | SC Poltava | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Kulikiv | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 17 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Fenix Mariupol | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 8 | Inhulets | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Metalist Kharkiv | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka 2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Chernihiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 15 | Zhytomyr 2 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Probiy Horodenka | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:27 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
