Sport Picks
Fenix Mariupol vs Vorskla Poltava
Ukraine
Persha Liga 2025/2026 Kolos Stadium 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Fenix Mariupol host Vorskla Poltava in the Persha Liga 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Fenix Mariupol at 1.5 goals for, 0.5 against; Vorskla Poltava at 0.63 for, 1.63 against. Head-to-head, Fenix Mariupol have won 1 to Vorskla Poltava's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 16, 2025, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 0.56) point toward Fenix Mariupol. Fenix Mariupol in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Fenix Mariupol has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vorskla Poltava.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Fenix Mariupol.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Persha Liga 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fenix Mariupol | Vorskla Poltava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fenix Mariupol Compare
Vorskla Poltava Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fenix Mariupol scored in 68% of their last 31 games.
Vorskla Poltava let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Fenix Mariupol went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Vorskla Poltava lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |