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Fenix vs Atenas Prediction & H2H Stats

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Capurro, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
de Marco S.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Fenix and Atenas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fenix.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Fenix
35%
Draws
45%
Atenas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atenas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Atenas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Fenix Clean Sheet 16%
Atenas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenix Atenas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Atenas
1:0
Apr 27, 2026 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Fenix
1:4
Oct 26, 2025 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Atenas
1:2
Aug 3, 2025 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Fenix
1:0
Oct 21, 2018 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Fenix vs Atenas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenix Compare

Top Goalscorer de Marco S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Atenas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenix 31 / 100
Atenas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenix Atenas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atenas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fenix scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Atenas conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Fenix has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fenix VS Atenas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenix

(Home)
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2
Fenix
23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2
Fenix
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1
Colon
13 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 1
Fenix
06 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Fenix
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Atenas

(Away)
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3
Atenas
19 Sept
La Luz
0 : 1
Atenas
13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Cerrito
06 Sept
Atenas
3 : 2
River Plate Montevideo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 20 11 4 5 29:18 37
2 Plaza Colonia 20 9 5 6 25:18 32
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 20 8 7 5 29:22 31
4 River Plate Montevideo 20 8 6 6 29:23 30
5 Rentistas 20 8 6 6 24:22 30
6 Colon 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
7 Fenix 20 6 8 6 25:24 26
8 Cerrito 20 6 8 6 24:23 26
9 Huracan FC 20 7 5 8 21:26 26
10 Paysandu FC 20 7 4 9 26:27 25
11 Tacuarembo 20 6 6 8 16:22 24
12 La Luz 20 6 6 8 16:22 24
13 Miramar 20 5 7 8 22:26 22
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 20 4 5 11 19:29 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)