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Fenix vs Colon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Capurro, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Mendez L.
76' Event
Luciani V.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Fenix and Colon finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Fenix
30%
Draws
16%
Colon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fenix come out ahead of Colon on wins alone.
  • Fenix are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Fenix Clean Sheet 68%
Colon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenix Colon
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Colon
1:1
Sep 1, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Colon vs Fenix
3:3
Jun 13, 2026 Segunda Division
Colon vs Fenix
1:1
Sep 15, 2025 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Colon
0:1
Jun 22, 2025 Segunda Division
Colon vs Fenix
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Luciani V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Colon Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenix 50 / 100
Colon 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenix Colon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenix Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenix's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Colon let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Fenix stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fenix VS Colon
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenix

(Home)
04 Oct
Fenix
2 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2
Fenix
23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2
Fenix
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1
Colon
13 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 1
Fenix
Page 1 of 6

Colon

(Away)
04 Oct
Colon
0 : 0
Club Oriental De Futbol
26 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
3 : 0
Colon
23 Sept
Liverpool M.
3 : 0
Colon
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1
Colon
13 Sept
Colon
0 : 1
Rentistas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 Rentistas 21 9 6 6 26:23 33
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 21 8 8 5 29:22 32
4 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
5 River Plate Montevideo 21 8 6 7 31:26 30
6 Colon 21 8 6 7 20:23 30
7 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
8 Cerrito 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
10 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
11 Paysandu FC 21 7 4 10 26:28 25
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 21 6 6 9 16:23 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 21 4 5 12 19:31 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)