Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fenix vs Miramar

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Capurro, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Arguello M.
42' Event
Guerrero S.
90' Event
Gonzalez A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Fenix and Miramar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Fenix
20%
Draws
51%
Miramar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Miramar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Fenix carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Fenix's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Fenix Clean Sheet 68%
Miramar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenix Miramar
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.48 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Miramar
1:1
May 25, 2026 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Fenix
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Fenix vs Miramar
0:0
Mar 8, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Miramar vs Fenix
1:1
Mar 22, 2014 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Fenix vs Miramar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerrero S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Miramar Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenix 59 / 100
Miramar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenix Miramar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenix Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenix scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Miramar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fenix stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fenix VS Miramar
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenix

(Home)
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2
Fenix
23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2
Fenix
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1
Colon
13 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 1
Fenix
06 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Fenix
Page 1 of 6

Miramar

(Away)
27 Sept
Huracan FC
2 : 1
Miramar
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 3
Miramar
05 Sept
Miramar
0 : 1
Colon
30 Aug
Fenix
1 : 1
Miramar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 20 11 4 5 29:18 37
2 Plaza Colonia 20 9 5 6 25:18 32
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 20 8 7 5 29:22 31
4 River Plate Montevideo 20 8 6 6 29:23 30
5 Rentistas 20 8 6 6 24:22 30
6 Colon 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
7 Fenix 20 6 8 6 25:24 26
8 Cerrito 20 6 8 6 24:23 26
9 Paysandu FC 19 7 3 9 24:25 24
10 La Luz 20 6 6 8 16:22 24
11 Huracan FC 19 6 5 8 19:25 23
12 Tacuarembo 19 6 5 8 14:20 23
13 Miramar 19 5 7 7 21:24 22
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 20 4 5 11 19:29 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)