Sport Picks
Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Segunda Division Parque Capurro, Montevideo 
Match Events
41'
41'
Maldonado L.
Own Goal
90'
90'
Colman G.
AI Match Summary
Fenix in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fenix.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fenix
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Fenix lately — more wins on the board than Uruguay Montevideo FC.
- Model gives Fenix a 70% chance of winning this.
- Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Fenix Clean Sheet 68%
Uruguay Montevideo FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fenix | Uruguay Montevideo FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
2:0
Jun 27, 2026 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Fenix
3:2
Mar 15, 2026 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Fenix
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Fenix
0:1
Jun 4, 2025 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fenix Compare
Top Goalscorer Colman G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Uruguay Montevideo FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fenix 95 / 100
Uruguay Montevideo FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fenix Uruguay Montevideo FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fenix Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fenix scored in 87% of their last 31 games.
Uruguay Montevideo FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Fenix stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fenix VS Uruguay Montevideo FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fenix
(Home) 04 Oct
Fenix
2 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2 Fenix
23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2 Fenix
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1 Colon
13 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 1 Fenix
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Fenix
2 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1 Colon
30 Aug
Fenix
1 : 1 Miramar
27 Aug
Fenix
0 : 2 Liverpool M.
16 Aug
Fenix
1 : 4 Plaza Colonia
Page 1 of 4
Uruguay Montevideo FC
(Away) 04 Oct
Fenix
2 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
26 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3 Rentistas
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2 Tacuarembo
07 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Fenix
2 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
07 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
22 Aug
Cerrito
3 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
01 Aug
Huracan FC
1 : 3 Uruguay Montevideo FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atenas | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 30:18 | 40 |
| 2 | Rentistas | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 26:23 | 33 |
| 3 | Club Oriental De Futbol | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:22 | 32 |
| 4 | Plaza Colonia | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26:21 | 32 |
| 5 | River Plate Montevideo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Colon | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | 30 |
| 7 | Fenix | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 8 | Cerrito | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 9 | La Luz | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19:24 | 27 |
| 10 | Huracan FC | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:28 | 26 |
| 11 | Paysandu FC | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26:28 | 25 |
| 12 | Miramar | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23:26 | 25 |
| 13 | Tacuarembo | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 16:23 | 24 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo FC | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 19:31 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)
