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Feraios vs Ermis Exochis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Feraios host Ermis Exochis in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4. Little to choose between these two on current form. Feraios have averaged 0.83 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Ermis Exochis's 1.59 scored and 1.41 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.48 vs 0.96, favoring Ermis Exochis. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Feraios
30%
Draws
37%
Ermis Exochis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ermis Exochis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ermis Exochis come out ahead of Feraios on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Feraios taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Feraios Clean Sheet 20%
Ermis Exochis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Feraios Ermis Exochis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Feraios 36 / 100
Ermis Exochis 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Feraios Ermis Exochis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ermis Exochis let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Feraios has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Feraios found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Ermis Exochis lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Feraios VS Ermis Exochis
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Feraios

(Home)
04 Oct
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 0
Feraios
26 Sept
Feraios
0 : 1
AO Trikala
01 Apr
Feraios
0 : 0
Thiva F.C.
24 Mar
Achilleas Farsalon
0 : 1
Feraios
18 Mar
Feraios
1 : 0
Sellana
Page 1 of 6

Ermis Exochis

(Away)
04 Oct
Ermis Exochis
3 : 1
Elassona
26 Sept
Anthoupoli
1 : 1
Ermis Exochis
08 Apr
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
05 Apr
Apollon Kalamaria
2 : 0
Ermis Exochis
01 Apr
Ermis Exochis
2 : 2
Veria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AO Trikala 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Anthoupoli 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Ermis Exochis 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
4 Elassona 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
5 Karitsa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Sarakinos Volos 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Pierikos 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
8 Ethnikos Neou 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
9 Feraios 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
10 Digenis Neochori 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
11 AE Iraklis Larissa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (Losers stage)