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Ferencvaros II vs Budafoki MTE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferencvaros II host Budafoki MTE in the NB III - Southwest. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Ferencvaros II at 2 goals for, 1.64 against; Budafoki MTE at 1.63 for, 1.44 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.75) point toward Ferencvaros II. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Ferencvaros II
20%
Draws
42%
Budafoki MTE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Budafoki MTE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ferencvaros II lately — more wins on the board than Budafoki MTE.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ferencvaros II Clean Sheet 12%
Budafoki MTE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferencvaros II Budafoki MTE
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferencvaros II 29 / 100
Budafoki MTE 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferencvaros II Budafoki MTE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferencvaros II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferencvaros II's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Budafoki MTE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Ferencvaros II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Budafoki MTE has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferencvaros II VS Budafoki MTE
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferencvaros II

(Home)
03 Oct
Ferencvaros II
2 : 0
MTK Budapest II
26 Sept
Kaposvar
2 : 2
Ferencvaros II
19 Sept
Ferencvaros II
2 : 3
Ivancsa
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
Page 1 of 6

Budafoki MTE

(Away)
03 Oct
Pecsi MFC
2 : 1
Budafoki MTE
26 Sept
Budafoki MTE
2 : 4
Dunaharaszti MTK
19 Sept
Paks II
1 : 2
Budafoki MTE
29 Aug
Budaorsi SC
1 : 3
Budafoki MTE
26 Aug
Budafoki MTE
4 : 0
Szekszardi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 10 9 1 0 30:4 28
2 Kaposvar 9 5 1 3 23:14 16
3 Budafoki MTE 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 PTE-PEAC 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
5 Ivancsa 9 5 0 4 21:20 15
6 Ferencvaros II 9 4 3 2 19:13 15
7 Siofok 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
8 Majosi 9 4 2 3 18:18 14
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
10 MTK Budapest II 8 4 0 4 21:14 12
11 Erdi 9 3 3 3 21:21 12
12 Budaorsi SC 9 3 2 4 16:26 11
13 Paks II 10 1 3 6 19:23 6
14 Sarbogard 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
15 Szekszardi 9 0 0 9 4:38 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)