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Ferencvaros II vs MTK Budapest II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Knab Z.
81' Event
Mate T.
88'
Szebelledi B.

AI Match Summary

Ferencvaros II in this NB III - Southwest matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferencvaros II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ferencvaros II
20%
Draws
34%
MTK Budapest II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferencvaros II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferencvaros II haven't matched MTK Budapest II's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ferencvaros II's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ferencvaros II Clean Sheet 10%
MTK Budapest II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferencvaros II MTK Budapest II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.97 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Ferencvaros II vs MTK Budapest II
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Ferencvaros II
4:0
Jul 27, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Ferencvaros II vs MTK Budapest II
5:0
May 25, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Ferencvaros II vs MTK Budapest II
2:2
Nov 10, 2024 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Ferencvaros II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferencvaros II Compare

Top Goalscorer Knab Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mate T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

MTK Budapest II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferencvaros II 56 / 100
MTK Budapest II 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferencvaros II MTK Budapest II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferencvaros II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferencvaros II found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

MTK Budapest II has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Ferencvaros II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferencvaros II VS MTK Budapest II
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferencvaros II

(Home)
03 Oct
Ferencvaros II
2 : 0
MTK Budapest II
26 Sept
Kaposvar
2 : 2
Ferencvaros II
19 Sept
Ferencvaros II
2 : 3
Ivancsa
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
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MTK Budapest II

(Away)
03 Oct
Ferencvaros II
2 : 0
MTK Budapest II
19 Sept
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
MTK Budapest II
06 Sept
MTK Budapest II
4 : 2
Dunaharaszti MTK
29 Aug
Paks II
2 : 4
MTK Budapest II
15 Aug
Budaorsi SC
1 : 0
MTK Budapest II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 10 9 1 0 30:4 28
2 Kaposvar 10 6 1 3 24:14 19
3 Ferencvaros II 10 5 3 2 23:14 18
4 Budafoki MTE 10 5 2 3 20:15 17
5 Dunaharaszti MTK 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
6 PTE-PEAC 10 4 4 2 16:13 16
7 Ivancsa 10 5 0 5 21:21 15
8 Majosi 10 4 3 3 21:21 15
9 Siofok 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
10 MTK Budapest II 8 4 0 4 21:14 12
11 Erdi 9 3 3 3 21:21 12
12 Budaorsi SC 10 3 3 4 17:27 12
13 Paks II 11 1 4 6 20:24 7
14 Sarbogard 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
15 Szekszardi 10 0 0 10 5:42 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)