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Ferencvaros vs Celje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Groupama Arena, Budapest
Thu, Nov 26, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferencvaros host Celje in the Europa League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Ferencvaros at 2.21 goals for, 0.76 against; Celje at 1.45 for, 1.28 against. Past meetings favor Ferencvaros slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 15, 2019, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.63 - 1.00) back Ferencvaros to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ferencvaros
20%
Draws
34%
Celje
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferencvaros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferencvaros carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ferencvaros are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ferencvaros Clean Sheet 20%
Celje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferencvaros Celje
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 2.21 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2019 Club Friendly
Ferencvaros vs Celje
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferencvaros 85 / 100
Celje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferencvaros Celje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferencvaros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ferencvaros scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Ferencvaros went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Celje let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ferencvaros VS Celje
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferencvaros

(Home)
05 Nov
AC Milan
0 : 2
Ferencvaros
01 Nov
Ferencvaros
2 : 0
Paks
28 Oct
Bicskei
1 : 4
Ferencvaros
25 Oct
Ferencvaros
5 : 0
MTK Budapest
22 Oct
Ferencvaros
4 : 1
Torreense
Page 1 of 6

Celje

(Away)
05 Nov
Sturm Graz
2 : 3
Celje
01 Nov
Celje
4 : 0
Nafta
28 Oct
O. Ljubljana
1 : 1
Celje
25 Oct
Korotan Prevalje
0 : 2
Celje
22 Oct
Celje
2 : 2
Salzburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 4 4 0 0 13:3 12
2 Bournemouth 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
3 Ferencvaros 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
4 Royale Union SG 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
5 Juventus 4 3 1 0 11:4 10
6 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
8 Besiktas 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
9 Din. Zagreb 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
11 Sunderland 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
12 Nijmegen 4 2 1 1 8:9 7
13 Lyon 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
15 Anderlecht 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
17 Rennes 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
18 Omonia 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
19 Torreense 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 1 2 1 9:4 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 1 2 1 9:6 5
22 Sparta Prague 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
23 Hoffenheim 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
25 Celje 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
26 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
28 AC Milan 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
29 Jagiellonia 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
30 Plzen 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
31 Marseille 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
32 Celtic 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
33 H. Beer Sheva 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
34 Lillestrom 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
35 Lech Poznan 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
36 Ararat-Armenia 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)