Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferencvaros vs Debrecen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Groupama Arena, Budapest
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferencvaros host Debrecen in the NB I.. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Ferencvaros at 2.12 goals for, 0.82 against; Debrecen at 1.38 for, 1.55 against. Past meetings favor Ferencvaros slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.94 - 1.25) back Ferencvaros to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Ferencvaros
35%
Draws
27%
Debrecen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferencvaros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Ferencvaros have won more games recently than Debrecen.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Ferencvaros taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ferencvaros Clean Sheet 19%
Debrecen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferencvaros Debrecen
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 23 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.12 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 NB I.
Debrecen vs Ferencvaros
0:2
Dec 14, 2025 NB I.
Ferencvaros vs Debrecen
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 NB I.
Debrecen vs Ferencvaros
0:3
Mar 9, 2025 NB I.
Debrecen vs Ferencvaros
0:1
Dec 5, 2024 NB I.
Debrecen vs Ferencvaros
5:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferencvaros 85 / 100
Debrecen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferencvaros Debrecen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferencvaros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ferencvaros scored in 94% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Ferencvaros has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Debrecen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferencvaros VS Debrecen
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferencvaros

(Home)
20 Sept
Nyiregyhaza
1 : 1
Ferencvaros
17 Sept
Celtic
1 : 3
Ferencvaros
12 Sept
Debreceni EAC
0 : 7
Ferencvaros
06 Sept
Ferencvaros
2 : 2
Ujpest
03 Sept
Gyor
0 : 3
Ferencvaros
Page 1 of 7

Debrecen

(Away)
19 Sept
Debrecen
2 : 4
Vasas
12 Sept
Godollo
2 : 3
Debrecen
05 Sept
Paks
2 : 4
Debrecen
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2
MTK Budapest
23 Aug
Kisvarda FC
0 : 0
Debrecen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puskas Academy 8 5 0 3 13:10 15
2 Gyor 8 4 3 1 16:10 15
3 Vasas 8 4 2 2 17:11 14
4 Ujpest 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
5 Ferencvaros 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
6 Paks 8 3 2 3 16:17 11
7 MTK Budapest 8 2 3 3 15:14 9
8 Kisvarda FC 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Debrecen 8 2 3 3 12:15 9
10 Nyiregyhaza 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
11 Zalaegerszegi 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
12 Honved 7 1 3 3 11:14 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)