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Ferencvaros vs Paks - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Groupama Arena, Budapest
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferencvaros host Paks in the NB I.. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Ferencvaros have averaged 2.04 scored and 0.78 conceded recently, against Paks's 2.52 scored and 1.81 conceded. Past meetings favor Ferencvaros slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2026, ending 4:2. The numbers (1.87 xG vs 1.04) point toward Ferencvaros. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ferencvaros
35%
Draws
34%
Paks
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Paks haven't matched Ferencvaros's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ferencvaros a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ferencvaros Clean Sheet 20%
Paks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferencvaros Paks
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 17 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.04 2.52
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.87 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 NB I.
Paks vs Ferencvaros
4:2
Apr 26, 2026 NB I.
Ferencvaros vs Paks
2:0
Feb 1, 2026 NB I.
Paks vs Ferencvaros
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 NB I.
Ferencvaros vs Paks
2:2
May 14, 2025 Hungarian Cup
Ferencvaros vs Paks
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferencvaros 36 / 100
Paks 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferencvaros Paks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferencvaros's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ferencvaros remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Paks's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferencvaros VS Paks
2.88 Goals Scored 1.57
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.86
75% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferencvaros

(Home)
10 Oct
Ferencvaros
1 : 1
Debrecen
20 Sept
Nyiregyhaza
1 : 1
Ferencvaros
17 Sept
Celtic
1 : 3
Ferencvaros
12 Sept
Debreceni EAC
0 : 7
Ferencvaros
06 Sept
Ferencvaros
2 : 2
Ujpest
Page 1 of 6

Paks

(Away)
10 Oct
Paks
3 : 0
MTK Budapest
19 Sept
Kisvarda FC
0 : 1
Paks
12 Sept
Kazincbarcika
1 : 2
Paks
05 Sept
Paks
2 : 4
Debrecen
29 Aug
Nyiregyhaza
1 : 1
Paks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puskas Academy 9 6 0 3 14:10 18
2 Vasas 9 4 3 2 18:12 15
3 Gyor 9 4 3 2 16:11 15
4 Ujpest 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
5 Paks 9 4 2 3 19:17 14
6 Ferencvaros 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
7 Kisvarda FC 9 2 4 3 10:11 10
8 Debrecen 9 2 4 3 13:16 10
9 Zalaegerszegi 9 3 0 6 12:18 9
10 MTK Budapest 9 2 3 4 15:17 9
11 Nyiregyhaza 9 2 2 5 10:19 8
12 Honved 8 1 4 3 12:15 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)