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Ferencvaros vs Plzen Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Europa League Groupama Arena, Budapest
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferencvaros host Plzen in the Europa League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ferencvaros have averaged 2.07 scored and 0.77 conceded recently, against Plzen's 1.82 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Plzen slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 25, 2025, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.25) point toward Ferencvaros. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 7-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ferencvaros
30%
Draws
19%
Plzen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferencvaros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ferencvaros lately — more wins on the board than Plzen.
  • Model gives Ferencvaros a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ferencvaros Clean Sheet 68%
Plzen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferencvaros Plzen
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 20 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 2.07 1.82
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2025 Europa League
Ferencvaros vs Plzen
1:1
Feb 20, 2025 Europa League
Plzen vs Ferencvaros
3:0
Feb 13, 2025 Europa League
Ferencvaros vs Plzen
1:0
Jan 25, 2024 Club Friendly
Ferencvaros vs Plzen
1:3
Jan 16, 2023 Club Friendly
Plzen vs Ferencvaros
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferencvaros 95 / 100
Plzen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferencvaros Plzen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferencvaros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferencvaros's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Ferencvaros remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Plzen conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ferencvaros VS Plzen
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferencvaros

(Home)
20 Sept
Nyiregyhaza
1 : 1
Ferencvaros
17 Sept
Celtic
1 : 3
Ferencvaros
12 Sept
Debreceni EAC
0 : 7
Ferencvaros
06 Sept
Ferencvaros
2 : 2
Ujpest
03 Sept
Gyor
0 : 3
Ferencvaros
Page 1 of 6

Plzen

(Away)
20 Sept
Slavia Prague
2 : 1
Plzen
17 Sept
Plzen
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
13 Sept
Plzen
2 : 3
Sigma Olomouc
09 Sept
Hradec Kralove
0 : 0
Plzen
05 Sept
Artis Brno
0 : 3
Plzen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Sparta Prague 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
4 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
5 Royale Union SG 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
6 Ferencvaros 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Benfica 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 OFI Crete 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Lyon 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Torreense 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
13 Olympiacos Piraeus 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Salzburg 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
15 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 Omonia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 Sturm Graz 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
18 Rennes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
19 Din. Zagreb 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
20 H. Beer Sheva 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
21 Jagiellonia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
22 Real Sociedad 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
23 Anderlecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
24 Lillestrom 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Celta Vigo 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Levski Sofia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 Celtic 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
29 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
30 AC Milan 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
31 Celje 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 Marseille 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Ararat-Armenia 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Plzen 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
35 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
36 Nijmegen 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)