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Ferencvaros vs Qarabag Agdam

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Yusuf B.
46'
Sub
Dibusz D. In: Varga A.
Out: Dibusz D.
60'
Sub
Yusuf B. In: Kovacevic F.
Out: Yusuf B.

AI Match Summary

Ferencvaros in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferencvaros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Ferencvaros
22%
Draws
18%
Qarabag Agdam
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ferencvaros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferencvaros have won more games recently than Qarabag Agdam.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Ferencvaros taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ferencvaros Clean Sheet 20%
Qarabag Agdam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferencvaros Qarabag Agdam
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 20 17
Draws 2 4
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Ferencvaros vs Qarabag Agdam
1:0
Aug 27, 2025 Champions League
Qarabag Agdam vs Ferencvaros
2:3
Aug 19, 2025 Champions League
Ferencvaros vs Qarabag Agdam
1:3
Jun 27, 2023 Club Friendly
Ferencvaros vs Qarabag Agdam
3:3
Aug 9, 2022 Champions League
Ferencvaros vs Qarabag Agdam
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferencvaros Compare

Top Goalscorer Yusuf B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Qarabag Agdam Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferencvaros 58 / 100
Qarabag Agdam 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferencvaros Qarabag Agdam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferencvaros scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Ferencvaros remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Qarabag Agdam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferencvaros VS Qarabag Agdam
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferencvaros

(Home)
16 Jul
Ferencvaros
3 : 0
Vojvodina
09 Jul
Vojvodina
1 : 2
Ferencvaros
01 Jul
Ferencvaros
1 : 0
Qarabag Agdam
28 Jun
Ferencvaros
1 : 1
Sabah Baku
16 May
Ferencvaros
3 : 0
Zalaegerszegi
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Qarabag Agdam

(Away)
16 Jul
Vestri
0 : 3
Qarabag Agdam
09 Jul
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 0
Vestri
01 Jul
Ferencvaros
1 : 0
Qarabag Agdam
01 Jul
Qarabag Agdam
2 : 6
FC Kharkiv
27 Jun
Tirol
0 : 4
Qarabag Agdam
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