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Ferencvaros vs Qarabag Agdam

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Yusuf B.
46'
Sub
Dibusz D. In: Varga A.
Out: Dibusz D.
60'
Sub
Yusuf B. In: Kovacevic F.
Out: Yusuf B.

AI Match Summary

Ferencvaros in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferencvaros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ferencvaros
30%
Draws
33%
Qarabag Agdam
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferencvaros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ferencvaros have won more games recently than Qarabag Agdam.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Ferencvaros taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ferencvaros Clean Sheet 20%
Qarabag Agdam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferencvaros Qarabag Agdam
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 20 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.07 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Ferencvaros vs Qarabag Agdam
1:0
Aug 27, 2025 Champions League
Qarabag Agdam vs Ferencvaros
2:3
Aug 19, 2025 Champions League
Ferencvaros vs Qarabag Agdam
1:3
Jun 27, 2023 Club Friendly
Ferencvaros vs Qarabag Agdam
3:3
Aug 9, 2022 Champions League
Ferencvaros vs Qarabag Agdam
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferencvaros Compare

Top Goalscorer Yusuf B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Qarabag Agdam Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferencvaros 85 / 100
Qarabag Agdam 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferencvaros Qarabag Agdam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferencvaros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferencvaros scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Ferencvaros remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Qarabag Agdam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferencvaros VS Qarabag Agdam
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferencvaros

(Home)
20 Sept
Nyiregyhaza
1 : 1
Ferencvaros
17 Sept
Celtic
1 : 3
Ferencvaros
12 Sept
Debreceni EAC
0 : 7
Ferencvaros
06 Sept
Ferencvaros
2 : 2
Ujpest
03 Sept
Gyor
0 : 3
Ferencvaros
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Qarabag Agdam

(Away)
18 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 0
Safa Baku
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
06 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 2
Araz PFK
31 Aug
SumQayit FK
0 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
27 Aug
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 4
Twente
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