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Ferencvaros W vs Gyor W

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Hungarian Cup Women encounter between Ferencvaros W and Gyor W promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Ferencvaros W averages 3.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in recent matches. Gyor W shows a form average of 2.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking threats recently, hinting at a potentially open and high-scoring contest. Historical head-to-head records show 5 wins for Ferencvaros W, 0 wins for Gyor W, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 18.03.26 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.81 for Ferencvaros W and 1.56 for Gyor W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Ferencvaros W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Ferencvaros W
15%
Draws
33%
Gyor W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferencvaros W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Ferencvaros W picked up more points recently compared to Gyor W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.81 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Ferencvaros W Clean Sheet 15%
Gyor W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferencvaros W Gyor W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 27 18
Draws 2 3
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 3.12 2.4
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 4.63 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

18.03.26 Hungarian Cup Women
Ferencvaros W vs Gyor W
2:0
14.03.26 NB I Women
Ferencvaros W vs Gyor W
1:0
06.09.25 NB I Women
Gyor W vs Ferencvaros W
1:4
21.05.25 NB I Women
Ferencvaros W vs Gyor W
2:0
15.05.25 NB I Women
Gyor W vs Ferencvaros W
0:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Ferencvaros W

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Gyor W

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferencvaros W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nagy V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.56
Avg xA / game 2.31

Gyor W Compare

Top Goalscorer N/A
0 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferencvaros W 50 / 100
Gyor W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferencvaros W Gyor W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ferencvaros W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Ferencvaros W 57%
Gyor W 26%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Ferencvaros W 49%
Gyor W 35%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Ferencvaros W 52%
Gyor W 33%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Ferencvaros W 55%
Gyor W 31%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Ferencvaros W 47%
Gyor W 36%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Ferencvaros W 60%
Gyor W 38%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ferencvaros W attacking → ← attacking Gyor W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferencvaros W have found the net in 91% of their last 33 matches.

Gyor W have conceded at least one goal in 60% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.20 goals per match.

Ferencvaros W remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Gyor W suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

83 Points in last 5 57
4.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00