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Ferizaj vs Trepca Mitrovice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferizaj host Trepca Mitrovice in the Liga e Pare. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Ferizaj at 1.38 goals for, 1.1 against; Trepca Mitrovice at 0.97 for, 1.9 against. Past meetings favor Ferizaj slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 15, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.63) point toward Ferizaj. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Ferizaj
20%
Draws
28%
Trepca Mitrovice
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferizaj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Trepca Mitrovice haven't matched Ferizaj's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Ferizaj taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ferizaj Clean Sheet 20%
Trepca Mitrovice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferizaj Trepca Mitrovice
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 3
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.38 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Ferizaj vs Trepca Mitrovice
0:0
May 7, 2017 Superliga
Ferizaj vs Trepca Mitrovice
2:1
Mar 4, 2017 Superliga
Trepca Mitrovice vs Ferizaj
1:1
Oct 12, 2016 Superliga
Ferizaj vs Trepca Mitrovice
2:2
May 31, 2015 Superliga
Trepca Mitrovice vs Ferizaj
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferizaj 85 / 100
Trepca Mitrovice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferizaj Trepca Mitrovice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferizaj Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trepca Mitrovice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Ferizaj went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ferizaj found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ferizaj VS Trepca Mitrovice
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferizaj

(Home)
17 Oct
Dinamo Ferizaj
1 : 4
Ferizaj
11 Oct
Ferizaj
1 : 0
Mitrovica
03 Oct
Ramiz Sadiku
0 : 0
Ferizaj
27 Sept
Ferizaj
0 : 0
2 Korriku
20 Sept
Vellaznimi
1 : 5
Ferizaj
Page 1 of 6

Trepca Mitrovice

(Away)
18 Oct
Trepca Mitrovice
0 : 1
Liria
11 Oct
Prishtina e Re
2 : 0
Trepca Mitrovice
03 Oct
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 0
Besa Peja
27 Sept
Suhareka
4 : 1
Trepca Mitrovice
21 Sept
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 0
Tefik Canga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prishtina e Re 10 7 0 3 17:10 21
2 Liria 9 6 2 1 10:4 20
3 Dinamo Ferizaj 10 5 4 1 17:8 19
4 Rilindja 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
5 Trepca 89 10 4 5 1 11:6 17
6 Suhareka 10 4 4 2 18:10 16
7 Ferizaj 10 4 4 2 14:6 16
8 2 Korriku 10 4 3 3 7:5 15
9 Istogu 10 4 1 5 10:15 13
10 Besa Peja 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
11 Vjosa 10 2 5 3 10:9 11
12 Vellaznimi 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
13 Trepca Mitrovice 10 3 2 5 7:15 11
14 Ramiz Sadiku 10 1 6 3 11:15 9
15 KF Lepenci 10 1 6 3 8:12 9
16 Kika 10 1 6 3 8:13 9
17 Mitrovica 9 0 5 4 5:12 5
18 Tefik Canga 10 0 3 7 7:17 3
Promotion - Superliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga (Relegation)