Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fermana vs Amiternina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2015/2016 Stadio Bruno Recchioni, Fermo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fermana in this Serie D - Group F 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fermana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Fermana
15%
Draws
0%
Amiternina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fermana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fermana lately — more wins on the board than Amiternina.
  • Win probability leans Fermana's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fermana Clean Sheet 20%
Amiternina Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fermana Amiternina
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 13 7
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.92 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Fermana vs Amiternina
3:0
Dec 20, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Amiternina vs Fermana
3:4
May 10, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Amiternina vs Fermana
2:1
Jan 4, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Fermana vs Amiternina
3:0
Apr 6, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Fermana vs Amiternina
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fermana 85 / 100
Amiternina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fermana Amiternina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fermana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amiternina let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Amiternina has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Fermana found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (36 games).

Scoring Trends

Fermana VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fermana

(Home)
04 May
Castelfidardo
1 : 0
Fermana
27 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2
Sambenedettese
17 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2
Civitanovese Calcio
13 Apr
Termoli
1 : 1
Fermana
06 Apr
Fermana
2 : 0
Avezzano
Page 1 of 8

Amiternina

(Away)
08 May
Fermana
3 : 0
Amiternina
01 May
Amiternina
1 : 2
Castelfidardo
24 Apr
Avezzano
1 : 0
Amiternina
17 Apr
Amiternina
1 : 3
Notaresco Calcio
10 Apr
Calcio Chieti
3 : 0
Amiternina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sambenedettese 34 25 6 3 76:36 81
2 Fano 34 21 5 8 49:29 68
3 Campobasso 34 17 10 7 47:27 61
4 Matelica 34 18 4 12 57:37 58
5 Fermana 34 15 10 9 50:39 55
6 Calcio Chieti 34 12 13 9 49:38 49
7 Recanatese 34 13 9 12 45:50 48
8 Jesina 34 14 5 15 39:46 47
9 Notaresco Calcio 34 12 10 12 49:42 46
10 Avezzano 34 12 8 14 51:52 44
11 Vis Pesaro 34 11 10 13 39:41 43
12 Castelfidardo 34 10 12 12 33:40 42
13 Agnonese 34 10 10 14 46:48 40
14 Monticelli 34 9 10 15 42:48 37
15 Isernia 34 9 10 15 27:49 37
16 Folgore Veregra 34 7 11 16 34:52 32
17 Giulianova 34 7 6 21 27:63 27
18 Amiternina 34 5 9 20 34:57 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2015/2016 (Play Out)