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Fernando de la Mora vs Benjamin Aceval

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Martinez P.
55' Event
Arguello O.
61' Event
Gavilan Romero I. E.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia game between Fernando de la Mora and Benjamin Aceval finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fernando de la Mora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Fernando de la Mora
30%
Draws
33%
Benjamin Aceval
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fernando de la Mora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Fernando de la Mora haven't matched Benjamin Aceval's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Fernando de la Mora Clean Sheet 68%
Benjamin Aceval Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernando de la Mora Benjamin Aceval
Matches Played 29 23
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Benjamin Aceval
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Division Intermedia
Benjamin Aceval vs Fernando de la Mora
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fernando de la Mora Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gavilan Romero I. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Benjamin Aceval Compare

Top Goalscorer Arguello O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernando de la Mora 41 / 100
Benjamin Aceval 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernando de la Mora Benjamin Aceval

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fernando de la Mora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benjamin Aceval's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 23 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Fernando de la Mora stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Fernando de la Mora scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Fernando de la Mora VS Benjamin Aceval
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fernando de la Mora

(Home)
14 Aug
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1
Benjamin Aceval
09 Aug
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 0
Fernando de la Mora
31 Jul
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 1
12 de Junio
26 Jul
Encarnacion FC
0 : 0
Fernando de la Mora
20 Jul
Deportivo Santani
2 : 3
Fernando de la Mora
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Benjamin Aceval

(Away)
14 Aug
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1
Benjamin Aceval
09 Aug
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 1
3 de Noviembre
31 Jul
General Caballero JLM
2 : 0
Benjamin Aceval
27 Jul
Benjamin Aceval
1 : 1
Guairena FC
18 Jul
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 0
Resistencia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 12 de Junio 19 12 4 3 28:16 40
2 General Caballero JLM 18 11 3 4 37:23 36
3 Deportivo Santani 19 11 3 5 29:16 36
4 Benjamin Aceval 19 10 5 4 30:19 35
5 Sol de America 19 6 11 2 25:17 29
6 Resistencia 19 7 7 5 22:22 28
7 Independiente FBC 19 6 8 5 28:26 26
8 Sportivo Carapegua 19 7 4 8 22:31 25
9 Atletico Tembetary 18 6 5 7 25:25 23
10 Deportivo Capiata 19 5 8 6 24:26 23
11 Guairena FC 19 6 5 8 19:23 23
12 Fernando de la Mora 19 6 5 8 21:28 23
13 Paraguari AC 19 5 5 9 19:24 20
14 Tacuary 18 3 9 6 22:27 18
15 Encarnacion FC 19 3 3 13 15:27 12
16 3 de Noviembre 18 0 7 11 14:30 7
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)