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Fernando de la Mora vs Sportivo Carapegua

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Rolon C.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia game between Fernando de la Mora and Sportivo Carapegua finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sportivo Carapegua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fernando de la Mora
33%
Draws
27%
Sportivo Carapegua
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Fernando de la Mora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Fernando de la Mora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Fernando de la Mora taking it.
  • Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Fernando de la Mora Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernando de la Mora Sportivo Carapegua
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:1
Jul 18, 2025 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Sportivo Carapegua
3:2
Apr 14, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Fernando de la Mora
0:0
Sep 9, 2024 Copa Paraguay
Sportivo Carapegua vs Fernando de la Mora
2:1
Jul 21, 2024 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fernando de la Mora Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Rolon C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernando de la Mora 50 / 100
Sportivo Carapegua 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernando de la Mora Sportivo Carapegua

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CFM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sportivo Carapegua conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Fernando de la Mora scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Fernando de la Mora stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fernando de la Mora VS Sportivo Carapegua
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
112 de Junio1493221:1130
2Benjamin Aceval1484224:1328
3General Caballero JLM1483330:2027
4Deportivo Santani1473418:1124
5Sol de America1457217:1222
6Deportivo Capiata1356220:1521
7Guairena FC1463516:1721
8Independiente FBC1354419:1719
9Atletico Tembetary1353520:1918
10Resistencia1446416:1818
11Sportivo Carapegua1444616:2616
12Fernando de la Mora1443715:2215
13Tacuary1326517:2112
14Paraguari AC1424812:1810
15Encarnacion FC14221013:228
163 de Noviembre1407712:247