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Fernandopolis vs Catanduvense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2018
Fernandopolis Logo

Fernandopolis

0 - 3
FT
Catanduvense Logo

Catanduvense

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2018 game between Fernandopolis and Catanduvense finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Catanduvense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Fernandopolis
15%
Draws
0%
Catanduvense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fernandopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Catanduvense haven't matched Fernandopolis's recent run of results.
  • Fernandopolis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Fernandopolis Clean Sheet 16%
Catanduvense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernandopolis Catanduvense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 2 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2019 Paulista A4
Fernandopolis vs Catanduvense
3:0
Aug 18, 2019 Paulista A4
Catanduvense vs Fernandopolis
0:1
Jul 8, 2018 Paulista A4
Catanduvense vs Fernandopolis
0:0
May 19, 2018 Paulista A4
Fernandopolis vs Catanduvense
0:3
Mar 23, 2016 Paulista A3
Fernandopolis vs Catanduvense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernandopolis 84 / 100
Catanduvense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernandopolis Catanduvense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catanduvense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Catanduvense lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Fernandopolis found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

Fernandopolis VS Catanduvense
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 4.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fernandopolis

(Home)
22 Jun
Fernandopolis
3 : 4
Olimpia FC
15 Jun
Tupa
2 : 0
Fernandopolis
09 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 4
Inter de Bebedouro
02 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
25 May
Tanabi
4 : 1
Fernandopolis
Page 1 of 7

Catanduvense

(Away)
20 Jun
Independente SP
17 : 0
Catanduvense
14 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 13
Matonense
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6
Mogi Mirim
30 May
Sao Carlos
8 : 0
Catanduvense
24 May
Catanduvense
1 : 5
Santacruzense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Talentos 10 AC 14 9 3 2 24:12 30
2 Santacruzense 14 6 6 2 19:15 24
3 Vocem 14 7 3 4 16:9 24
4 Osvaldo Cruz 14 7 3 4 25:16 24
5 Andradina Esporte Clube 14 5 3 6 19:18 18
6 Tupa 14 3 5 6 7:11 14
7 Assisense 14 3 4 7 11:19 13
8 Gremio Prudente 14 0 5 9 12:33 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 14 10 1 3 23:10 31
2 Bandeirante 14 8 4 2 22:11 28
3 America SP 14 6 2 6 19:21 20
4 Taquaritinga 14 5 4 5 19:21 19
5 Jose Bonifacio EC 14 5 2 7 17:21 17
6 Fernandopolis 14 4 3 7 8:11 15
7 Catanduva FC 14 3 4 7 12:20 13
8 Catanduvense 14 2 6 6 16:21 12
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comercial 14 9 5 0 34:5 32
2 Francana 14 8 4 2 30:7 28
3 Itapirense 14 7 5 2 19:12 26
4 Independente SP 14 7 4 3 22:9 25
5 XV de Jau 13 4 4 5 16:17 16
6 Brasilis 14 3 3 8 14:30 12
7 Jaguariuna 14 1 3 10 5:36 6
8 Sao-Carlense 13 1 2 10 6:30 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarulhos 14 10 2 2 23:10 32
2 Sao Jose EC 14 8 4 2 25:7 28
3 Paulista 14 8 3 3 26:8 27
4 Flamengo SP 14 8 3 3 22:12 27
5 Amparo SP 14 5 4 5 19:15 19
6 Jacarei FC 14 4 1 9 23:26 13
7 Uniao Mogi 14 3 2 9 8:25 11
8 Atletico Mogi 14 0 1 13 3:46 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Primavera EC 14 8 3 3 23:7 27
2 Maua FC 14 8 3 3 25:10 27
3 AA Itarare 13 8 2 3 17:8 26
4 Elosport 14 8 2 4 20:12 26
5 Mauaense 14 5 3 6 14:17 18
6 Jabaquara 13 4 5 4 13:12 17
7 Barcelona SP 14 3 2 9 10:22 11
8 Guaruja 14 0 2 12 3:37 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams