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Stadium Background

Fernwald vs Schwalmstadt

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2010/2011 game between Fernwald and Schwalmstadt finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Schwalmstadt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Fernwald
30%
Draws
8%
Schwalmstadt
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fernwald

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Fernwald carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fernwald are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 18%
Schwalmstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernwald Schwalmstadt
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 14 2
Draws 12 4
Losses 10 26
Goals Scored 1.75 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2011 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Schwalmstadt
1:2
Aug 3, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
Schwalmstadt vs Fernwald
2:1
May 29, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Schwalmstadt
0:2
Nov 7, 2009 Oberliga Hessen
Schwalmstadt vs Fernwald
2:2
Nov 17, 2007 Oberliga Hessen
Schwalmstadt vs Fernwald
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernwald 85 / 100
Schwalmstadt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernwald Schwalmstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fernwald Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fernwald scored in 86% of their last 36 games.

Schwalmstadt let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Fernwald has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fernwald VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fernwald

(Home)
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2
Fernwald
28 Aug
Fernwald
3 : 3
Hanauer SC
23 Aug
Kassel 2
1 : 2
Fernwald
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Schwalmstadt

(Away)
13 Sept
Schwalmstadt
0 : 0
Kassel
23 May
Schwalmstadt
0 : 1
Alzenau
16 May
Schwalmstadt
0 : 3
TSV Steinbach Haiger
09 May
Ederbergland
4 : 2
Schwalmstadt
02 May
Schwalmstadt
2 : 3
Flieden
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