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Fernwald vs Wetzlar

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2010/2011 game between Fernwald and Wetzlar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Fernwald
35%
Draws
30%
Wetzlar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fernwald come out ahead of Wetzlar on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fernwald's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 14%
Wetzlar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernwald Wetzlar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 12 5
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.57 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2011 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Wetzlar
4:2
Apr 2, 2011 Oberliga Hessen
Wetzlar vs Fernwald
0:0
Sep 18, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Wetzlar
1:1
May 3, 2008 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Wetzlar
5:0
Oct 6, 2007 Oberliga Hessen
Wetzlar vs Fernwald
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernwald 84 / 100
Wetzlar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernwald Wetzlar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fernwald Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fernwald found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Wetzlar conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Fernwald remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fernwald VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fernwald

(Home)
26 Sept
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Fernwald
19 Sept
Fernwald
0 : 0
Eddersheim
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2
Fernwald
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Wetzlar

(Away)
11 Dec
Kickers Offenbach II
3 : 1
Wetzlar
03 Dec
Wetzlar
3 : 1
Hadamar
26 Nov
Vellmar
1 : 1
Wetzlar
19 Nov
Flieden
4 : 1
Wetzlar
12 Nov
Wetzlar
1 : 1
SKV Darmstadt
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