Sport Picks

Kosovo

Liga e Pare

Trepca Mitrovice

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Feronikeli play Trepca Mitrovice in the Liga e Pare. Feronikeli are favorites here. Recently, Feronikeli averaged 1.77 goals scored and 0.68 conceded. Trepca Mitrovice averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Feronikeli won 4, Trepca Mitrovice won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Feronikeli and 0.94 for Trepca Mitrovice. This points to a Feronikeli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%

Feronikeli

20%

Draws

18%

Trepca Mitrovice

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Feronikeli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

Feronikeli picked up more points recently compared to Trepca Mitrovice.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Feronikeli Clean Sheet 24%

Trepca Mitrovice Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Feronikeli	Trepca Mitrovice
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	20	7
Draws	7	5
Losses	4	18
Goals Scored	1.77	1.37
Goals Conceded	0.68	2
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga e Pare

Feronikeli vs Trepca Mitrovice

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 3 - 4

3:0

Nov 7, 2025 Liga e Pare

Trepca Mitrovice vs Feronikeli

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Apr 15, 2017 Superliga

Trepca Mitrovice vs Feronikeli

Possession: 59% - 44% Cards: 0 - 4

1:3

Feb 25, 2017 Superliga

Feronikeli vs Trepca Mitrovice

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

5:1

Sep 28, 2016 Superliga

Trepca Mitrovice vs Feronikeli

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 0 - 0

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Feronikeli 61 / 100

Trepca Mitrovice 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Feronikeli Trepca Mitrovice

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Feronikeli Win (1)

Secondary Pick Feronikeli & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Feronikeli attacking → ← attacking Trepca Mitrovice

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Feronikeli scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Trepca Mitrovice let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Feronikeli went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Trepca Mitrovice lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 26

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vushtrria	34	22	9	3	62:26	75
2	Feronikeli	34	22	8	4	59:22	74
3	Liria	34	21	8	5	60:29	71
4	Dinamo Ferizaj	34	22	5	7	61:39	71
5	Trepca 89	34	20	10	4	72:33	70
6	Vellaznimi	34	21	7	6	58:32	70
7	Ramiz Sadiku	34	14	8	12	39:29	50
8	Suhareka	34	13	5	16	60:61	44
9	Tefik Canga	34	12	4	18	48:54	40
10	2 Korriku	34	11	6	17	52:64	39
11	Besa Peja	33	9	8	16	39:52	35
12	Vjosa	34	9	8	17	39:61	35
13	Trepca Mitrovice	34	9	7	18	49:62	34
14	Kika	34	9	6	19	25:43	33
15	Istogu	34	7	11	16	47:60	32
16	Rilindja	34	8	8	18	34:61	32
17	Kek-U	33	4	9	20	25:63	21
18	Prizreni	34	3	11	20	28:66	20