Sport Picks
Ferrandina vs Afragolese Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 
Match Events
28'
28'
Gianfreda L.
Own Goal
89'
89'
Kisseih A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Afragolese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Afragolese lately — more wins on the board than Ferrandina.
- Model gives Afragolese a 39% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Ferrandina Clean Sheet 19%
Afragolese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferrandina | Afragolese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.16 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Ferrandina vs Afragolese
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Afragolese vs Ferrandina
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ferrandina Compare
Top Goalscorer Kisseih A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.58
Afragolese Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferrandina 20 / 100
Afragolese 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferrandina Afragolese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Afragolese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Afragolese has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Ferrandina scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Ferrandina has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ferrandina VS Afragolese
0.57 Goals Scored 0.63
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferrandina
(Home) 03 May
Heraclea
2 : 1 Ferrandina
26 Apr
Ferrandina
1 : 0 A.C.D. Nardo
19 Apr
SS Nola 1925
0 : 0 Ferrandina
12 Apr
Ferrandina
0 : 5 Gravina
02 Apr
Citta di Fasano
2 : 0 Ferrandina
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Ferrandina
1 : 0 A.C.D. Nardo
12 Apr
Ferrandina
0 : 5 Gravina
29 Mar
Ferrandina
1 : 1 Paganese
15 Mar
Ferrandina
1 : 1 Afragolese
15 Feb
Ferrandina
0 : 2 Barletta
Page 1 of 4
Afragolese
(Away) 27 Sept
Citta di Anagni
4 : 0 Afragolese
20 Sept
Afragolese
4 : 0 US Venafro
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0 Afragolese
12 Sept
Afragolese
1 : 1 Sarnese
06 Sept
Gelbison
0 : 0 Afragolese
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Citta di Anagni
4 : 0 Afragolese
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0 Afragolese
06 Sept
Gelbison
0 : 0 Afragolese
03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0 Afragolese
11 Apr
Paganese
1 : 1 Afragolese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
