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Ferreira de Aves vs Fornos de Algodres

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018 game between Ferreira de Aves and Fornos de Algodres finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferreira de Aves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ferreira de Aves
6%
Draws
4%
Fornos de Algodres
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ferreira de Aves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferreira de Aves carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ferreira de Aves's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ferreira de Aves Clean Sheet 20%
Fornos de Algodres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferreira de Aves Fornos de Algodres
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 1
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 25
Goals Scored 0.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 4.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 4.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Ferreira de Aves vs Fornos de Algodres
2:1
Oct 8, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fornos de Algodres vs Ferreira de Aves
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferreira de Aves 85 / 100
Fornos de Algodres 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferreira de Aves Fornos de Algodres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fornos de Algodres's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ferreira de Aves stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Fornos de Algodres registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferreira de Aves VS Fornos de Algodres
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 4.33
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferreira de Aves

(Home)
08 May
CD Gouveia
1 : 2
Ferreira de Aves
01 May
Ferreira de Aves
1 : 0
Castro Daire
24 Apr
Ferreira de Aves
1 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
10 Apr
Ferreira de Aves
1 : 0
CD Gouveia
03 Apr
Castro Daire
3 : 0
Ferreira de Aves
Page 1 of 7

Fornos de Algodres

(Away)
18 Oct
Fornos de Algodres
0 : 7
AFS
21 Sept
Fornos de Algodres
3 : 1
Charneca Caparica
10 Sept
Fornos de Algodres
0 : 5
Oliveira Hospital
22 Apr
Sertanense
6 : 1
Fornos de Algodres
14 Apr
Fornos de Algodres
1 : 3
Agueda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leiria30234368:2173
2Lusitano FCV30205547:1965
3SB Castelo Branco30178548:2359
4Sertanense30158751:2253
5Agueda30147939:3249
6Gafanha30139836:2348
7Anadia301210839:2846
8Maritimo B301431344:3045
9Nogueirense301191037:3842
10Oleiros301261235:3642
11Marinhense301181143:4141
12Mortagua FC301131623:4036
13Ferreira de Aves30921934:6929
14Aguias do Moradal30561929:5421
15GD Sourense30381928:5717
16Fornos de Algodres30042615:834
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)