Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018

Ferreira de Aves

2 - 1

GD Sourense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018 game between Ferreira de Aves and GD Sourense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferreira de Aves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Ferreira de Aves

17%

Draws

13%

GD Sourense

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ferreira de Aves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Ferreira de Aves carry the better recent record into this one.
Ferreira de Aves are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Ferreira de Aves Clean Sheet 17%

GD Sourense Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ferreira de Aves	GD Sourense
Matches Played	35	30
Wins	11	3
Draws	5	8
Losses	19	19
Goals Scored	0.13	0
Goals Conceded	1.75	1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Ferreira de Aves vs GD Sourense

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Nov 12, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

GD Sourense vs Ferreira de Aves

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferreira de Aves 66 / 100

GD Sourense 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ferreira de Aves GD Sourense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Sourense let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ferreira de Aves went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: GD Sourense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferreira de Aves VS GD Sourense

0.13 Goals Scored 0

1.75 Goals Conceded 1

38% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Leiria	30	23	4	3	68:21	73
2	Lusitano FCV	30	20	5	5	47:19	65
3	SB Castelo Branco	30	17	8	5	48:23	59
4	Sertanense	30	15	8	7	51:22	53
5	Agueda	30	14	7	9	39:32	49
6	Gafanha	30	13	9	8	36:23	48
7	Anadia	30	12	10	8	39:28	46
8	Maritimo B	30	14	3	13	44:30	45
9	Nogueirense	30	11	9	10	37:38	42
10	Oleiros	30	12	6	12	35:36	42
11	Marinhense	30	11	8	11	43:41	41
12	Mortagua FC	30	11	3	16	23:40	36
13	Ferreira de Aves	30	9	2	19	34:69	29
14	Aguias do Moradal	30	5	6	19	29:54	21
15	GD Sourense	30	3	8	19	28:57	17
16	Fornos de Algodres	30	0	4	26	15:83	4