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Ferreira de Aves vs Valadares Gaia FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022 game between Ferreira de Aves and Valadares Gaia FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valadares Gaia FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ferreira de Aves
6%
Draws
4%
Valadares Gaia FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ferreira de Aves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Valadares Gaia FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ferreira de Aves are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ferreira de Aves Clean Sheet 68%
Valadares Gaia FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferreira de Aves Valadares Gaia FC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Ferreira de Aves vs Valadares Gaia FC
0:1
Sep 19, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Valadares Gaia FC vs Ferreira de Aves
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferreira de Aves 95 / 100
Valadares Gaia FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferreira de Aves Valadares Gaia FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valadares Gaia FC let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Ferreira de Aves stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Valadares Gaia FC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valadares Gaia FC
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferreira de Aves

(Home)
08 May
CD Gouveia
1 : 2
Ferreira de Aves
01 May
Ferreira de Aves
1 : 0
Castro Daire
24 Apr
Ferreira de Aves
1 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
10 Apr
Ferreira de Aves
1 : 0
CD Gouveia
03 Apr
Castro Daire
3 : 0
Ferreira de Aves
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Valadares Gaia FC

(Away)
07 Apr
SC Salgueiros
6 : 1
Valadares Gaia FC
24 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
2 : 1
ACDR Lamelas
17 Mar
Vila Mea
3 : 3
Valadares Gaia FC
09 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
03 Mar
Florgrade
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Salgueiros18134129:1443
2Leca18123336:1539
3Gondomar18103534:1933
4Castro Daire1895425:1532
5SC Espinho1885524:1329
6Santa Cruz Alvarenga1855813:1620
7Valadares Gaia FC1855822:2020
8Uniao de Coimbra18441017:2916
9Ferreira de Aves1833126:3512
10CD Gouveia1813148:386
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)