Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferreiras vs Aljustrelense

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ferreiras
20%
Draws
80%
Aljustrelense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aljustrelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Aljustrelense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Aljustrelense taking it.
  • Aljustrelense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aljustrelense, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ferreiras Clean Sheet 20%
Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferreiras Aljustrelense
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 4 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.67 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Taça de Portugal
Ferreiras vs Aljustrelense
0:3
Apr 12, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Ferreiras vs Aljustrelense
1:1
Feb 15, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense vs Ferreiras
3:2
Jan 18, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Ferreiras vs Aljustrelense
2:1
Nov 9, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense vs Ferreiras
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferreiras 16 / 100
Aljustrelense 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferreiras Aljustrelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aljustrelense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aljustrelense has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ferreiras scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Aljustrelense lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferreiras VS Aljustrelense
0.5 Goals Scored 0.83
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 67%
13% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferreiras

(Home)
30 Aug
Ferreiras
0 : 3
Aljustrelense
22 Sept
Varzim
3 : 0
Ferreiras
16 Apr
Ferreiras
1 : 2
Atletico CP
08 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
3 : 1
Ferreiras
02 Apr
Serpa
2 : 1
Ferreiras
Page 1 of 6

Aljustrelense

(Away)
13 Sept
Portel
1 : 1
Aljustrelense
30 Aug
Ferreiras
0 : 3
Aljustrelense
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
16 Aug
Aljustrelense
1 : 1
Lagoa
10 Apr
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 0
Aljustrelense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Montijo 0
Atletico CP 4
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Lagoa -
Nogueirense 1
Naval 1893 3
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FC Felgueiras -
Caldas SC 1
Sintrense 3
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AFS -
Covilha 0
Mortagua FC 1
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Leca -
Oliveirense 4
Penalva do Castelo 0
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Penafiel -
SC Salgueiros 2
Sousense 1
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Feirense -
Cinfaes 1
SC Espinho 0
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Leixoes -
O Elvas CAD 9
Sao Roque 0
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Leiria -
1º Dezembro 0
Real SC 1
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Academica -
Castro Daire -
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Portimonense -
Sacavenense 5
SC Angrense 0
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SC Farense -
Vila Pouca -
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Brito -
Ac. Fundao 0
Guarda FC 6
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Chaves -
Alcains 1
Sertanense 0
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Vitoria Setubal -
Bombarralense -
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Vizela -
Fazendense 1
Mocarriense 0
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Figueirense -
GD Alcochetense 8
Fayal 0
C.F. Benfica 3
Viana Alentejo 0
Oliveira Hospital 1
GD Sourense 0
Uniao Montemor 1
Juv. Evora 4
Beira Mar 4
Uniao Lamas 3
Lusitano GC 1
CF Os Belenenses 2
Correlha 1
AD Limianos 4
Ferreiras 0
Aljustrelense 3
Serpa 2
Grandolense 0
Castrense 0
Louletano 1
Rebordosa 2
FC Alpendorada 3
Macao 5
CF Os Gavionenses 0
Anca -
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Sanjoanense 3
Pacos de Brandao 0
Machico 2
Camacha 3
Florgrade 1
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Pacos Ferreira 0
AD Fafe 1
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Lajense -
SC Barreiro 2
FC Madalena 5
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Lusitania FC -
CDC Montalegre 0
Ponte da Barca 1
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Amarante FC -
ACDR Lamelas -
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Portalegrense 0
Santo Antonio 3
Olhanense -
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Messejanense 0
Portel 8
Santarem -
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Merelinense 2
Atletico Arcos 0
GD Os Nazarenos 0
Vitoria Sernache 3
Varzim 5
Trofense 1
Regua 0
AD Marco 09 1
Maia Lidador 1
Vila Mea 0
Rebordelo 0
GD Braganca 4
Celoricense 1
Pevidem 0
Ermesinde 1
Paredes 3
Maria de Fonte 1
Uniao Nogueirense 0
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Tondela -
Malveira 2
Mafra 3
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Tirsense -
Fatima 3
SB Castelo Branco 1
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Vinhais -
UD Ovarense -
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Fornos de Algodres 0
Os Marialvas 4
Amora -
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Uniao Da Serra 5
Uniao de Pombal 0
Estrela Calheta -
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SC Vianense 8
Minas de Argozelo 0
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1/64-finals
Atletico CP 4
Lagoa 1
Naval 1893 0
FC Felgueiras 2
Sintrense -
AFS -
Mortagua FC -
Leca -
Oliveirense 1
Penafiel 2
SC Salgueiros 1
Feirense 0
Cinfaes -
Leixoes -
O Elvas CAD 0
Leiria 2
Real SC 1
Academica 4
Castro Daire 0
Portimonense 1
Sacavenense -
SC Farense -
Vila Pouca -
Brito -
Guarda FC -
Chaves -
Alcains -
Vitoria Setubal -
Bombarralense -
Vizela -
Fazendense -
Figueirense -
GD Alcochetense -
C.F. Benfica -
Oliveira Hospital -
Juv. Evora -
Beira Mar 0
CF Os Belenenses 2
AD Limianos -
Aljustrelense -
Serpa -
Louletano -
FC Alpendorada -
Macao -
Anca -
Sanjoanense -
Camacha -
Florgrade -
AD Fafe -
Lajense -
FC Madalena -
Lusitania FC -
Ponte da Barca -
Amarante FC -
ACDR Lamelas 4
Santo Antonio 1
Olhanense -
Portel -
Santarem -
Merelinense -
Vitoria Sernache 2
Varzim 1
AD Marco 09 -
Maia Lidador -
GD Braganca -
Celoricense -
Paredes -
Maria de Fonte -
Imortal 1
Tondela 5
Mafra 3
Tirsense 2
Fatima -
Vinhais -
UD Ovarense -
Os Marialvas -
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Uniao Da Serra -
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SC Vianense -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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