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Ferreiras vs Serpa

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Ferreiras Logo

Ferreiras

0 - 2
FT
Serpa Logo

Serpa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 game between Ferreiras and Serpa finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serpa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ferreiras
20%
Draws
80%
Serpa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Serpa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Serpa come out ahead of Ferreiras on wins alone.
  • Serpa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ferreiras Clean Sheet 10%
Serpa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferreiras Serpa
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 4 16
Draws 7 10
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.67 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Serpa vs Ferreiras
2:1
Dec 11, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Ferreiras vs Serpa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferreiras 10 / 100
Serpa 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferreiras Serpa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serpa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serpa let in goals in 65% of their last 40 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ferreiras scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Serpa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferreiras VS Serpa
0 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferreiras

(Home)
30 Aug
Ferreiras
0 : 3
Aljustrelense
22 Sept
Varzim
3 : 0
Ferreiras
16 Apr
Ferreiras
1 : 2
Atletico CP
08 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
3 : 1
Ferreiras
02 Apr
Serpa
2 : 1
Ferreiras
Page 1 of 6

Serpa

(Away)
13 Sept
Lagoa
0 : 0
Serpa
06 Sept
Serpa
1 : 1
1º Dezembro
29 Aug
Serpa
2 : 0
Grandolense
16 Aug
Serpa
4 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
18 Apr
Oriental
2 : 1
Serpa
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico CP 26 15 7 4 43:22 52
2 Lusitano GC 26 15 6 5 35:22 51
3 Juv. Evora 26 13 7 6 37:16 46
4 CD Rabo Peixe 26 13 6 7 33:19 45
5 Imortal 26 9 12 5 31:22 39
6 Fabril do Barreiro 26 11 6 9 31:26 39
7 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 10 9 7 37:33 39
8 Serpa 26 10 6 10 44:36 36
9 Oriental Dragon 26 10 6 10 35:36 36
10 SC Praiense 26 9 7 10 31:32 34
11 Esperanca de Lagos 26 7 10 9 28:38 31
12 SC Angrense 26 4 5 17 17:46 17
13 Olhanense 26 5 2 19 18:50 17
14 Ferreiras 26 3 7 16 17:39 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)