Sport Picks
Ferriolense vs Atletico Rafal Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 game between Ferriolense and Atletico Rafal finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferriolense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ferriolense come out ahead of Atletico Rafal on wins alone.
- Ferriolense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 16%
Atletico Rafal Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferriolense | Atletico Rafal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Rafal vs Ferriolense
2:4
Nov 22, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Atletico Rafal
0:2
Apr 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Atletico Rafal
1:1
Nov 9, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Rafal vs Ferriolense
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferriolense 84 / 100
Atletico Rafal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferriolense Atletico Rafal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferriolense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico Rafal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Atletico Rafal has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Ferriolense scored in 59% of their last 34 games.
Scoring Trends
Ferriolense VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferriolense
(Home) 19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1 Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1 Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4 Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4 Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1 Ferriolense
Page 1 of 7
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1 Binissalem
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4 Llosetense
15 May
Ferriolense
4 : 1 Santa Catalina Atletico
02 May
Ferriolense
3 : 1 Esporles
18 Apr
Ferriolense
0 : 0 Alcudia
Page 1 of 4
Atletico Rafal
(Away) 17 May
UD Poblense
9 : 1 Atletico Rafal
09 May
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2 CD Son Cladera
03 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 0 Atletico Rafal
26 Apr
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2 Mercadal
18 Apr
CD Montuiri
4 : 1 Atletico Rafal
Page 1 of 6
17 May
UD Poblense
9 : 1 Atletico Rafal
03 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 0 Atletico Rafal
18 Apr
CD Montuiri
4 : 1 Atletico Rafal
02 Apr
UD Alaro
3 : 0 Atletico Rafal
21 Mar
Collerense
2 : 0 Atletico Rafal
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 90:27 | 83 |
| 2 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 75:33 | 80 |
| 3 | Formentera | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 58:27 | 80 |
| 4 | Binissalem | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 56:31 | 67 |
| 5 | Mercadal | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 55:53 | 65 |
| 6 | UD Poblense | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 7 | Alcudia | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 59:41 | 60 |
| 8 | Penya Ciutadella Esportiva | 38 | 17 | 3 | 18 | 47:51 | 54 |
| 9 | Llosetense | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54:53 | 54 |
| 10 | Manacor | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 63:62 | 53 |
| 11 | Collerense | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 60:60 | 53 |
| 12 | Platges de Calvia | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 41:40 | 49 |
| 13 | Campos | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 51:54 | 47 |
| 14 | Ferriolense | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 41:50 | 45 |
| 15 | Atletico Rafal | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 42:65 | 42 |
| 16 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 47:60 | 40 |
| 17 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 38 | 11 | 4 | 23 | 43:84 | 37 |
| 19 | Felanitx | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27:65 | 26 |
| 20 | Santanyi | 38 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 26:93 | 13 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
