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Ferriolense vs Llosetense

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Ferriolense and Llosetense finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llosetense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ferriolense
20%
Draws
58%
Llosetense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Llosetense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Llosetense come out ahead of Ferriolense on wins alone.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 11%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferriolense Llosetense
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 6 19
Draws 5 11
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Llosetense
0:4
Apr 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Ferriolense
2:0
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Llosetense
0:0
Oct 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Ferriolense
2:3
May 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Ferriolense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferriolense 30 / 100
Llosetense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferriolense Llosetense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llosetense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llosetense has conceded goals in 68% of their last 40 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ferriolense scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Ferriolense has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Llosetense
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferriolense

(Home)
19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1
Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1
Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4
Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1
Ferriolense
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Llosetense

(Away)
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
03 May
Inter Ibiza
0 : 1
Llosetense
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