Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Ferriolense and Soller finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferriolense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Soller
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Ferriolense carry the better recent record into this one.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Ferriolense taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 68%
Soller Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferriolense | Soller |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 19 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 2.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.54 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Soller
2:1
Jan 10, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Ferriolense
0:0
Oct 4, 2020 Club Friendly
Soller vs Ferriolense
2:0
May 3, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Ferriolense
0:0
Dec 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Soller
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferriolense 95 / 100
Soller 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferriolense Soller
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferriolense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Soller's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Away concern: Soller has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Ferriolense's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Soller
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 3.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferriolense
(Home) 19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1 Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1 Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4 Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4 Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1 Ferriolense
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12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1 Binissalem
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4 Llosetense
15 May
Ferriolense
4 : 1 Santa Catalina Atletico
02 May
Ferriolense
3 : 1 Esporles
18 Apr
Ferriolense
0 : 0 Alcudia
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Soller
(Away) 12 May
Soller
0 : 4 Constancia
05 May
Collerense
4 : 1 Soller
01 May
Soller
3 : 3 Arenal
27 Apr
Binissalem
2 : 1 Soller
21 Apr
Soller
2 : 1 Inter Manacor
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05 May
Collerense
4 : 1 Soller
27 Apr
Binissalem
2 : 1 Soller
14 Apr
Mercadal
2 : 0 Soller
27 Mar
Platges de Calvia
5 : 1 Soller
16 Mar
Alcudia
2 : 2 Soller
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SD Ibiza | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 38:11 | 44 |
| 2 | Andratx | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 35:17 | 44 |
| 3 | Constancia | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 24:14 | 35 |
| 4 | Manacor | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 26:20 | 34 |
| 5 | Portmany | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 29:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Collerense | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 29 |
| 7 | Soller | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 21:36 | 23 |
| 8 | Cardassar | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20:28 | 22 |
| 9 | Felanitx | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 29:32 | 19 |
| 10 | Ferriolense | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14:32 | 13 |
| 11 | Genova | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19:41 | 11 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Platges de Calvia | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 31:13 | 45 |
| 2 | PE Sant Jordi | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 33:17 | 41 |
| 3 | Formentera | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 36:20 | 39 |
| 4 | Mallorca B | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 34:10 | 38 |
| 5 | Santanyi | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23:12 | 35 |
| 6 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 25:24 | 22 |
| 7 | Llosetense | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 17:28 | 22 |
| 8 | Alcudia | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17:32 | 21 |
| 9 | Santa Catalina Atletico | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 12:30 | 17 |
| 10 | Binissalem | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 17:24 | 15 |
| 11 | Esporles | 20 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15:50 | 7 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
