Sport Picks
Ferriolense vs Son Ferrer
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 game between Ferriolense and Son Ferrer finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferriolense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferriolense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Ferriolense carry the better recent record into this one.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Ferriolense taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Ferriolense have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 16%
Son Ferrer Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferriolense | Son Ferrer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 19 | 28 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 3.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Son Ferrer
4:0
Nov 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs Ferriolense
2:4
Mar 10, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Son Ferrer
5:0
Oct 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs Ferriolense
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferriolense 84 / 100
Son Ferrer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferriolense Son Ferrer
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferriolense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Son Ferrer conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Son Ferrer's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Ferriolense scored in 59% of their last 32 games.
Scoring Trends
Ferriolense VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferriolense
(Home) 19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1 Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1 Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4 Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4 Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1 Ferriolense
Page 1 of 7
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1 Binissalem
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4 Llosetense
15 May
Ferriolense
4 : 1 Santa Catalina Atletico
02 May
Ferriolense
3 : 1 Esporles
18 Apr
Ferriolense
0 : 0 Alcudia
Page 1 of 4
Son Ferrer
(Away) 19 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 1 Andratx
12 May
Espana
6 : 1 Son Ferrer
05 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 4 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
28 Apr
Soller
3 : 1 Son Ferrer
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2 Atletico Isleno
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Espana
6 : 1 Son Ferrer
28 Apr
Soller
3 : 1 Son Ferrer
13 Apr
Ferriolense
4 : 0 Son Ferrer
16 Mar
Manacor
4 : 0 Son Ferrer
03 Mar
Llosetense
1 : 0 Son Ferrer
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Constancia | 38 | 24 | 13 | 1 | 68:21 | 85 |
| 2 | Binissalem | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 59:26 | 80 |
| 3 | Llosetense | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 81:50 | 76 |
| 4 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 66:28 | 75 |
| 5 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:23 | 72 |
| 6 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 61:35 | 67 |
| 7 | Santanyi | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 65:40 | 67 |
| 8 | Campos | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 38:31 | 56 |
| 9 | UD Poblense | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 49:39 | 55 |
| 10 | Mercadal | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 42:47 | 52 |
| 11 | Collerense | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 46:58 | 45 |
| 12 | Felanitx | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 36:58 | 42 |
| 13 | Son Ferrer | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 28:50 | 42 |
| 14 | Alcudia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:54 | 39 |
| 15 | Espana | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:66 | 39 |
| 16 | Atletico Isleno | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 46:60 | 38 |
| 17 | Ferriolense | 38 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 44:60 | 36 |
| 18 | Platges de Calvia | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 41:65 | 34 |
| 19 | CD Ferrerias | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 27:87 | 23 |
| 20 | Alaior | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35:76 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
