Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferriolense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ferriolense lately — more wins on the board than UD Alaro.
- Win probability leans Ferriolense's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 16%
UD Alaro Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferriolense | UD Alaro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 9, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Alaro vs Ferriolense
1:2
Nov 21, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs UD Alaro
1:0
May 17, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs UD Alaro
0:0
Jan 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Alaro vs Ferriolense
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferriolense 84 / 100
UD Alaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferriolense UD Alaro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferriolense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UD Alaro has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Difficult form: UD Alaro registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Ferriolense scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ferriolense VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferriolense
(Home) 19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1 Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1 Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4 Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4 Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1 Ferriolense
Page 1 of 7
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1 Binissalem
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4 Llosetense
15 May
Ferriolense
4 : 1 Santa Catalina Atletico
02 May
Ferriolense
3 : 1 Esporles
18 Apr
Ferriolense
0 : 0 Alcudia
Page 1 of 4
UD Alaro
(Away) 15 May
Collerense
3 : 0 UD Alaro
07 May
UD Alaro
0 : 4 Alcudia
29 Apr
UD Poblense
4 : 0 UD Alaro
24 Apr
UD Alaro
0 : 1 Mercadal
17 Apr
Formentera
3 : 0 UD Alaro
Page 1 of 6
15 May
Collerense
3 : 0 UD Alaro
29 Apr
UD Poblense
4 : 0 UD Alaro
17 Apr
Formentera
3 : 0 UD Alaro
02 Apr
Campos
1 : 0 UD Alaro
13 Mar
El Espinar Sant Rafel
0 : 0 UD Alaro
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Formentera | 38 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 41:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Llosetense | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 66:35 | 72 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 57:40 | 72 |
| 4 | Mercadal | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64:32 | 67 |
| 5 | Constancia | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 64:42 | 66 |
| 6 | UD Poblense | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 64:37 | 66 |
| 7 | Binissalem | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 63:33 | 66 |
| 8 | Soller | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52:54 | 53 |
| 9 | Penya Ciutadella Esportiva | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 43:50 | 50 |
| 10 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45:43 | 48 |
| 11 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 49:58 | 45 |
| 12 | Campos | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 34:44 | 43 |
| 13 | Collerense | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 42:52 | 43 |
| 14 | UD Alaro | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 44:55 | 42 |
| 15 | Alcudia | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 32:52 | 42 |
| 16 | Ferriolense | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Platges de Calvia | 38 | 7 | 20 | 11 | 32:41 | 41 |
| 18 | CD Son Cladera | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 30:65 | 35 |
| 19 | Manacor | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 36:65 | 31 |
| 20 | Atletico Rafal | 38 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 37:73 | 26 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
