Sport Picks
Match Events
47'
47'
Kabalin M.
62'
62'
Obradovich F.
63'
63'
Sub
Dubini K. In: Romero L.
Out: Dubini K.
AI Match Summary
Ferro in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
30%
18%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Acassuso haven't matched Ferro's recent run of results.
- Ferro are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Ferro Clean Sheet 68%
Acassuso Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferro | Acassuso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Acassuso
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ferro Compare
Top Goalscorer Kabalin M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Parisi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Acassuso Compare
Top Goalscorer Reynoso R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferro 50 / 100
Acassuso 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferro Acassuso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ferro scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Acassuso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Ferro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ferro VS Acassuso
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferro
(Home) 09 Aug
Los Andes
1 : 2 Ferro
01 Aug
Ferro
1 : 3 Godoy Cruz
26 Jul
Deportivo Moron
4 : 0 Ferro
17 Jul
Ferro
2 : 0 Colon Santa Fe
11 Jul
San Miguel
0 : 1 Ferro
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Ferro
1 : 3 Godoy Cruz
17 Jul
Ferro
2 : 0 Colon Santa Fe
05 Jul
Ferro
2 : 1 San Telmo
21 Jun
Ferro
1 : 0 Deportivo Moron
14 Jun
Ferro
2 : 1 Acassuso
Page 1 of 3
Acassuso
(Away) 09 Aug
Deportivo Moron
4 : 1 Acassuso
01 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 1 Colon Santa Fe
26 Jul
San Miguel
0 : 0 Acassuso
12 Jul
Racing Cordoba
3 : 2 Acassuso
05 Jul
Chaco For Ever
1 : 1 Acassuso
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Deportivo Moron
4 : 1 Acassuso
26 Jul
San Miguel
0 : 0 Acassuso
12 Jul
Racing Cordoba
3 : 2 Acassuso
05 Jul
Chaco For Ever
1 : 1 Acassuso
14 Jun
Ferro
2 : 1 Acassuso
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 28:22 | 46 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 37:22 | 41 |
| 3 | Colon Santa Fe | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 29:19 | 39 |
| 4 | Almirante Brown | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 19:13 | 38 |
| 5 | Godoy Cruz | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 27:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportivo Madryn | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 30:22 | 36 |
| 7 | Ciudad Bolivar | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 21:21 | 34 |
| 8 | Los Andes | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 20:11 | 33 |
| 9 | CA Estudiantes | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 20:20 | 32 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23:28 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mitre | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:28 | 28 |
| 12 | San Miguel | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 17:23 | 26 |
| 13 | Defensores de Belgrano | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 16:21 | 25 |
| 14 | San Telmo | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 18:24 | 23 |
| 15 | All Boys | 23 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 13:22 | 23 |
| 16 | Chaco For Ever | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 21:28 | 22 |
| 17 | Central Norte | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14:23 | 22 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 17:28 | 21 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:27 | 41 |
| 2 | Tristan Suarez | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 21:12 | 39 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 29:22 | 39 |
| 4 | Midland | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 25:16 | 37 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 26:22 | 37 |
| 6 | Temperley | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 24:21 | 37 |
| 7 | Atl. Rafaela | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 18:19 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31:26 | 32 |
| 9 | San Martin T. | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 22:20 | 31 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 23:23 | 30 |
| 11 | Almagro | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21:27 | 30 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:21 | 29 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 20:22 | 29 |
| 14 | San Martin S.J. | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23:23 | 28 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 18:24 | 26 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 21:28 | 26 |
| 17 | Patronato | 23 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 18:23 | 24 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 20:42 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
