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Ferro vs Atletico Atlanta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Hoyos E.
Assist: Ozuna E.
53' Event
Parisi L.
Assist: Kabalin M.
58'
Sub
Puch J. In: Bernardi C.
Out: Puch J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Ferro and Atletico Atlanta finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ferro
30%
Draws
47%
Atletico Atlanta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico Atlanta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferro have managed 1.07 goals a game lately — Atletico Atlanta are scoring more at 1.24.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ferro Clean Sheet 24%
Atletico Atlanta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferro Atletico Atlanta
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Atletico Atlanta
3:1
Mar 28, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Ferro
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Ferro
2:1
Apr 23, 2025 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Atletico Atlanta
0:1
Sep 24, 2023 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Ferro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferro Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoyos E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parisi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Atletico Atlanta Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintana A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferro 33 / 100
Atletico Atlanta 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferro Atletico Atlanta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Atlanta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ferro scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ferro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Atletico Atlanta let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferro VS Atletico Atlanta
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferro

(Home)
31 Oct
Acassuso
0 : 0
Ferro
24 Oct
Ferro
0 : 3
Chaco For Ever
18 Oct
Ferro
1 : 0
Racing Cordoba
11 Oct
Central Norte
1 : 1
Ferro
02 Oct
Ferro
0 : 2
Deportivo Madryn
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Atlanta

(Away)
31 Oct
Atletico Atlanta
0 : 0
Midland
25 Oct
Gimnasia Jujuy
1 : 2
Atletico Atlanta
17 Oct
Gimnasia y Tiro
3 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
11 Oct
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0
San Martin T.
04 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 3
Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Godoy Cruz 36 19 9 8 53:33 66
2 Ferro 36 19 9 8 38:31 66
3 Deportivo Moron 36 18 7 11 53:37 61
4 Deportivo Madryn 36 16 12 8 52:31 60
5 Colon Santa Fe 36 16 12 8 45:27 60
6 Almirante Brown 36 13 12 11 30:26 51
7 Ciudad Bolivar 36 13 12 11 30:33 51
8 CA Estudiantes 36 13 10 13 35:35 49
9 Chaco For Ever 36 12 10 14 39:37 46
10 Los Andes 36 9 16 11 27:26 43
11 All Boys 36 8 17 11 22:30 41
12 San Telmo 36 10 11 15 30:41 41
13 CA Mitre 36 8 16 12 31:42 40
14 Racing Cordoba 36 10 10 16 32:45 40
15 Defensores de Belgrano 36 8 15 13 25:34 39
16 Central Norte 36 7 17 12 23:32 38
17 Acassuso 36 8 11 17 25:35 35
18 San Miguel 36 6 15 15 27:42 33
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 36 16 16 4 34:16 64
2 Atletico Atlanta 36 19 5 12 42:34 62
3 Temperley 36 16 13 7 43:31 61
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 36 16 10 10 53:49 58
5 Midland 36 15 10 11 43:29 55
6 Deportivo Maipu 36 14 10 12 43:34 52
7 Colegiales 36 14 10 12 36:32 52
8 Gimnasia y Tiro 36 14 10 12 37:35 52
9 San Martin S.J. 36 13 12 11 42:36 51
10 San Martin T. 36 11 14 11 39:37 47
11 Atl. Rafaela 36 12 11 13 29:35 47
12 Agropecuario 36 12 10 14 31:39 46
13 Quilmes 36 12 9 15 33:30 45
14 Chacarita Juniors 36 12 6 18 29:35 42
15 Almagro 36 11 9 16 33:44 42
16 Patronato 36 7 17 12 29:35 38
17 Nueva Chicago 36 9 10 17 25:36 37
18 Club Atletico Guemes 36 6 9 21 28:62 27
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)