Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferro vs CA Mitre

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Olguin G.
28'
Gonzalez A.
41'
Cabral Y.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Ferro and CA Mitre finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Ferro
35%
Draws
16%
CA Mitre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferro come out ahead of CA Mitre on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ferro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ferro Clean Sheet 68%
CA Mitre Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferro CA Mitre
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 7 14
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.14 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs CA Mitre
0:0
Apr 19, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Ferro
0:1
Sep 4, 2023 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs CA Mitre
3:0
Apr 23, 2023 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Ferro
0:2
Mar 19, 2022 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Ferro
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferro 95 / 100
CA Mitre 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferro CA Mitre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Ferro stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ferro scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

CA Mitre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ferro VS CA Mitre
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferro

(Home)
19 Sept
Ferro
1 : 0
Ciudad Bolivar
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0
Ferro
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0
CA Mitre
30 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 2
Ferro
24 Aug
Ferro
1 : 0
All Boys
Page 1 of 6

CA Mitre

(Away)
19 Sept
Acassuso
2 : 0
CA Mitre
13 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 0
Chaco For Ever
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0
CA Mitre
30 Aug
CA Mitre
2 : 2
Central Norte
21 Aug
Deportivo Madryn
4 : 0
CA Mitre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 30 17 7 6 35:25 58
2 Deportivo Moron 29 16 7 6 47:27 55
3 Godoy Cruz 29 14 7 8 36:25 49
4 Deportivo Madryn 29 12 10 7 42:28 46
5 Almirante Brown 29 12 10 7 23:16 46
6 Colon Santa Fe 29 12 9 8 35:25 45
7 CA Estudiantes 30 11 9 10 27:25 42
8 Ciudad Bolivar 30 9 12 9 24:27 39
9 Los Andes 29 8 13 8 22:17 37
10 Racing Cordoba 29 9 8 12 26:34 35
11 Chaco For Ever 29 8 9 12 26:29 33
12 Defensores de Belgrano 29 7 12 10 22:26 33
13 All Boys 30 6 14 10 17:26 32
14 CA Mitre 30 6 14 10 27:37 32
15 Central Norte 29 6 13 10 19:27 31
16 San Miguel 30 6 13 11 24:34 31
17 San Telmo 30 7 10 13 23:34 31
18 Acassuso 30 6 8 16 21:34 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 29 14 11 4 31:15 53
2 Temperley 30 14 11 5 36:24 53
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 29 15 7 7 44:35 52
4 Atletico Atlanta 29 15 3 11 34:28 48
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 29 12 9 8 31:26 45
6 Midland 29 12 8 9 32:25 44
7 San Martin S.J. 29 11 9 9 31:27 42
8 Atl. Rafaela 30 11 9 10 25:26 42
9 Deportivo Maipu 29 11 7 11 36:30 40
10 Colegiales 29 11 7 11 29:28 40
11 San Martin T. 30 9 12 9 32:30 39
12 Quilmes 29 9 8 12 28:24 35
13 Almagro 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
14 Agropecuario 29 8 9 12 25:34 33
15 Nueva Chicago 29 8 8 13 21:28 32
16 Patronato 29 5 15 9 23:30 30
17 Chacarita Juniors 29 7 6 16 19:31 27
18 Club Atletico Guemes 29 5 8 16 23:49 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)