Sport Picks
Ferro vs Central Norte
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
2'
2'
Villarreal M.
25'
25'
Vazquez E.
27'
27'
Mancuso G.
AI Match Summary
Ferro in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ferro lately — more wins on the board than Central Norte.
- Model gives Ferro a 37% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Ferro Clean Sheet 68%
Central Norte Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferro | Central Norte |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 13 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Central Norte
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ferro Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Central Norte Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferro 50 / 100
Central Norte 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferro Central Norte
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Ferro stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Ferro scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Central Norte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Ferro VS Central Norte
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferro
(Home) 13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0 Ferro
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0 CA Mitre
30 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 2 Ferro
24 Aug
Ferro
1 : 0 All Boys
15 Aug
Ferro
3 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0 CA Mitre
24 Aug
Ferro
1 : 0 All Boys
15 Aug
Ferro
3 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
01 Aug
Ferro
1 : 3 Godoy Cruz
17 Jul
Ferro
2 : 0 Colon Santa Fe
Page 1 of 3
Central Norte
(Away) 12 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 0 Central Norte
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0 Almirante Brown
30 Aug
CA Mitre
2 : 2 Central Norte
27 Aug
Central Norte
0 : 0 Deportivo Moron
23 Aug
Central Norte
2 : 1 CA Estudiantes
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 0 Central Norte
30 Aug
CA Mitre
2 : 2 Central Norte
10 Aug
All Boys
1 : 1 Central Norte
26 Jul
Godoy Cruz
2 : 1 Central Norte
12 Jul
Colon Santa Fe
4 : 0 Central Norte
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 47:27 | 55 |
| 2 | Ferro | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 34:25 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 36:25 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 42:28 | 46 |
| 5 | Almirante Brown | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 23:16 | 46 |
| 6 | Colon Santa Fe | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 35:25 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 26:25 | 39 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 24:26 | 39 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 22:17 | 37 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 26:34 | 35 |
| 11 | Chaco For Ever | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 26:29 | 33 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 22:26 | 33 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 27:35 | 32 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 19:27 | 31 |
| 15 | All Boys | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 16:25 | 31 |
| 16 | San Telmo | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 23:33 | 31 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 23:33 | 30 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 19:34 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 31:15 | 53 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 44:35 | 52 |
| 3 | Temperley | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 33:23 | 50 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 31:26 | 45 |
| 6 | Midland | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J. | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 42 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36:30 | 40 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29:28 | 40 |
| 10 | San Martin T. | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 30:26 | 39 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 21:24 | 39 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:24 | 35 |
| 13 | Almagro | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 25:33 | 35 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 25:34 | 33 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 21:28 | 32 |
| 16 | Patronato | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19:31 | 27 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 23:49 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
