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Ferro vs Godoy Cruz Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, Buenos Aires
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Match Events

7' Event
Poggi V.
Assist: Pino M.
9'
Brunet N.
10' Event
Kabalin M.
Assist: Gonzalez A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Ferro and Godoy Cruz finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Godoy Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ferro
30%
Draws
43%
Godoy Cruz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Godoy Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferro come out ahead of Godoy Cruz on wins alone.
  • Godoy Cruz are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ferro Clean Sheet 18%
Godoy Cruz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferro Godoy Cruz
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Godoy Cruz
1:3
Mar 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
Godoy Cruz vs Ferro
2:1
Apr 5, 2008 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Godoy Cruz
1:0
Oct 5, 2007 Primera Nacional
Godoy Cruz vs Ferro
3:2
Apr 15, 2006 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Godoy Cruz
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferro Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabalin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Godoy Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Poggi V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rossi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferro 20 / 100
Godoy Cruz 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferro Godoy Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Godoy Cruz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Ferro scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Godoy Cruz has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Ferro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferro VS Godoy Cruz
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferro

(Home)
02 Oct
Ferro
0 : 2
Deportivo Madryn
27 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
0 : 1
Ferro
19 Sept
Ferro
1 : 0
Ciudad Bolivar
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0
Ferro
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0
CA Mitre
Page 1 of 6

Godoy Cruz

(Away)
27 Sept
Racing Cordoba
2 : 2
Godoy Cruz
20 Sept
Deportivo Moron
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
13 Sept
Godoy Cruz
2 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
06 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
30 Aug
Godoy Cruz
3 : 0
San Telmo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 31 16 7 8 49:31 55
3 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
4 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
14 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
15 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
16 CA Mitre 31 6 14 11 27:39 32
17 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 31 15 12 4 32:15 57
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 31 15 9 7 47:38 54
3 Temperley 31 14 11 6 36:25 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)