Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferro vs San Telmo

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Parisi L.
Assist: Gonzalez A.
27'
Obradovich F.
36' Event
Hoyos E.

AI Match Summary

Ferro in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Ferro
22%
Draws
18%
San Telmo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ferro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferro have won more games recently than San Telmo.
  • Win probability leans Ferro's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Ferro Clean Sheet 68%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferro San Telmo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs San Telmo
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Ferro
0:2
Jul 3, 2022 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Ferro
2:0
Oct 27, 2021 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs San Telmo
6:0
Jun 27, 2021 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Ferro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferro Compare

Top Goalscorer Parisi L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hoyos E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

San Telmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Batallini M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferro 68 / 100
San Telmo 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferro San Telmo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferro has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ferro's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: San Telmo conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ferro VS San Telmo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro20124423:1440
2Colon Santa Fe2098327:1535
3Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar2079419:1630
6CA Estudiantes2086618:1630
7Almirante Brown2086615:1330
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2066820:2424
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys2049713:2021
14San Telmo2048816:2120
15Acassuso20541115:2319
16Central Norte2047912:2119
17CA Mitre2039819:2718
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
4Temperley20710319:1731
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2078519:1529
7Deportivo Maipu2084827:2128
8Atl. Rafaela2076715:1627
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago1967617:1725
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2047914:2419
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419