Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Parisi L.
Assist: Gonzalez A.
27'
27'
Obradovich F.
36'
36'
Hoyos E.
AI Match Summary
Ferro in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Ferro have won more games recently than San Telmo.
- Win probability leans Ferro's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Ferro Clean Sheet 68%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferro | San Telmo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs San Telmo
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Ferro
0:2
Jul 3, 2022 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Ferro
2:0
Oct 27, 2021 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs San Telmo
6:0
Jun 27, 2021 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Ferro
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ferro Compare
Top Goalscorer Parisi L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hoyos E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
San Telmo Compare
Top Goalscorer Batallini M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferro 68 / 100
San Telmo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferro San Telmo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferro has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Ferro's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: San Telmo conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Ferro VS San Telmo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferro
(Home) 13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0 Ferro
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0 CA Mitre
30 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 2 Ferro
24 Aug
Ferro
1 : 0 All Boys
15 Aug
Ferro
3 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0 CA Mitre
24 Aug
Ferro
1 : 0 All Boys
15 Aug
Ferro
3 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
01 Aug
Ferro
1 : 3 Godoy Cruz
17 Jul
Ferro
2 : 0 Colon Santa Fe
Page 1 of 3
San Telmo
(Away) 12 Sept
All Boys
0 : 1 San Telmo
05 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 0 Los Andes
30 Aug
Godoy Cruz
3 : 0 San Telmo
26 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 2 San Telmo
21 Aug
San Telmo
2 : 2 Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
All Boys
0 : 1 San Telmo
30 Aug
Godoy Cruz
3 : 0 San Telmo
26 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 2 San Telmo
15 Aug
Quilmes
3 : 0 San Telmo
09 Aug
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 0 San Telmo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 47:27 | 55 |
| 2 | Ferro | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 34:25 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 36:25 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 42:28 | 46 |
| 5 | Almirante Brown | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 23:16 | 46 |
| 6 | Colon Santa Fe | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 35:25 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 26:25 | 39 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 24:26 | 39 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 22:17 | 37 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 26:34 | 35 |
| 11 | Chaco For Ever | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 26:29 | 33 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 22:26 | 33 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 27:35 | 32 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 19:27 | 31 |
| 15 | All Boys | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 16:25 | 31 |
| 16 | San Telmo | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 23:33 | 31 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 23:33 | 30 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 19:34 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 31:15 | 53 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 44:35 | 52 |
| 3 | Temperley | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 33:23 | 50 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 31:26 | 45 |
| 6 | Midland | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J. | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 42 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36:30 | 40 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29:28 | 40 |
| 10 | San Martin T. | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 30:26 | 39 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 21:24 | 39 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:24 | 35 |
| 13 | Almagro | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 25:33 | 35 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 25:34 | 33 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 21:28 | 32 |
| 16 | Patronato | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19:31 | 27 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 23:49 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
