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Ferro W vs CA Independiente W Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera A Women
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Correa R.
10' Event
Estigarribia E.
44' Event
Correa R.

AI Match Summary

Ferro W in this Primera A Women matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferro W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Ferro W
15%
Draws
36%
CA Independiente W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferro W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferro W have won more games recently than CA Independiente W.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Ferro W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ferro W Clean Sheet 68%
CA Independiente W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferro W CA Independiente W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 1
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.23 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Primera A Women
CA Independiente W vs Ferro W
3:2
Jun 20, 2026 Primera A Women
Ferro W vs CA Independiente W
6:1
Sep 30, 2025 Primera A Women
Ferro W vs CA Independiente W
3:1
May 2, 2025 Primera A Women
Ferro W vs CA Independiente W
5:2
Nov 5, 2024 Primera A Women
CA Independiente W vs Ferro W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferro W Compare

Top Goalscorer Correa R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lezcano T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

CA Independiente W Compare

Top Goalscorer Estigarribia E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferro W 50 / 100
CA Independiente W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferro W CA Independiente W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferro W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Independiente W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Ferro W's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: CA Independiente W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferro W VS CA Independiente W
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferro W

(Home)
02 Oct
Ferro W
1 : 1
Union de Santa Fe W
25 Sept
CA Independiente W
3 : 2
Ferro W
18 Sept
Ferro W
3 : 2
Huracan W
11 Sept
CA Belgrano de Cordoba W
3 : 1
Ferro W
01 Sept
CA Banfield W
2 : 1
Ferro W
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CA Independiente W

(Away)
03 Oct
Talleres Cordoba W
3 : 1
CA Independiente W
25 Sept
CA Independiente W
3 : 2
Ferro W
19 Sept
Boca Juniors W
2 : 1
CA Independiente W
11 Sept
CA Independiente W
1 : 2
Lanus W
05 Sept
San Luis W
3 : 1
CA Independiente W
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