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Ferrocarril Palmeiras vs Rosario Central

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2021
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2021 game between Ferrocarril Palmeiras and Rosario Central finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferrocarril Palmeiras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
20%
Draws
51%
Rosario Central
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rosario Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rosario Central come out ahead of Ferrocarril Palmeiras on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ferrocarril Palmeiras Clean Sheet 17%
Rosario Central Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferrocarril Palmeiras Rosario Central
Matches Played 20 32
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.17 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2021 Copa Simon Bolivar
Rosario Central vs Ferrocarril Palmeiras
2:1
Sep 18, 2021 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ferrocarril Palmeiras vs Rosario Central
2:1
Oct 13, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Rosario Central vs Ferrocarril Palmeiras
0:2
Sep 16, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ferrocarril Palmeiras vs Rosario Central
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferrocarril Palmeiras 31 / 100
Rosario Central 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferrocarril Palmeiras Rosario Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferrocarril Palmeiras's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Defensive concern: Rosario Central conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Ferrocarril Palmeiras went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferrocarril Palmeiras VS Rosario Central
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.17 Goals Conceded 2.25
67% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferrocarril Palmeiras

(Home)
10 Oct
America de Villazon
0 : 1
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
07 Oct
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
0 : 1
Wilstermann Cooperativas
02 Oct
Rosario Central
2 : 1
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
01 Oct
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
1 : 1
America de Villazon
25 Sept
Wilstermann Cooperativas
2 : 1
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
Page 1 of 4

Rosario Central

(Away)
25 Jun
Stormers SL
2 : 0
Rosario Central
17 Jun
Rosario Central
4 : 0
Huracan Tupiza
11 Jun
Rosario Central
1 : 2
Real Potosi
04 Jun
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Stormers SL
28 May
Huracan Tupiza
0 : 1
Rosario Central
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Libertad Gran Mamore 6 5 0 1 14:4 15
2 CD Kivon 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Los Almendros 6 2 0 4 11:18 6
4 Villa Real Sociedad 6 0 2 4 8:14 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Sucre 6 4 1 1 15:6 13
2 Mojocoya 6 4 1 1 9:2 13
3 Fancesa 6 2 1 3 8:6 7
4 Atletico de Padilla 6 0 1 5 4:22 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Club Universitario de Vinto 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
3 Cochabamba 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
4 Nueva Cliza 6 0 1 5 4:14 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fatic 6 6 0 0 26:3 18
2 Maestranza 6 3 1 2 12:7 10
3 Academia del Balompie 6 2 1 3 10:17 7
4 Municipal Achocalla 6 0 0 6 6:27 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 5 0 1 15:5 15
2 Deportivo Shalon 6 5 0 1 13:6 15
3 Sur-Car 6 2 0 4 9:9 6
4 Caracollo 6 0 0 6 4:21 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaca Diez 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Mariscal Sucre 4 1 3 0 7:6 6
3 Moto Club 4 0 1 3 6:11 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 6 0 0 17:4 18
2 Rosario Central 6 3 0 3 10:12 9
3 Ferrocarril Palmeiras 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
4 America de Villazon 6 0 1 5 5:15 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torre Fuerte 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 2 4 0 10:6 10
3 Argentinos Juniors 6 1 3 2 8:7 6
4 Academia Santa Cruz 6 1 0 5 5:16 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garcia Agreda 6 3 2 1 14:9 11
2 Atletico Bermejo 6 3 2 1 13:11 11
3 Quebracho Villa Montes 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
4 Nacional Senac 6 1 1 4 10:14 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)