Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferroviaria U20 vs Santos U20

Brazil Brazil

Copinha Estadio Municipal Prof. Luiz Augusto de Oliveira
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferroviaria U20 play Santos U20 in the Copinha. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ferroviaria U20 averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1 conceded. Santos U20 averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Ferroviaria U20 won 2, Santos U20 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 15, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.24 for Ferroviaria U20 and 1.17 for Santos U20. This points to a Ferroviaria U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ferroviaria U20
21%
Draws
39%
Santos U20
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Ferroviaria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferroviaria U20 picked up more points recently compared to Santos U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.24 vs 1.17 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Ferroviaria U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Santos U20 Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria U20 Santos U20
Matches Played 29 38
Wins 16 22
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.66 1.71
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.20 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 Copinha
Ferroviaria U20 vs Santos U20
1:4
Jun 21, 2025 Paulista U20
Santos U20 vs Ferroviaria U20
1:1
Jan 14, 2025 Copinha
Ferroviaria U20 vs Santos U20
3:2
Jan 9, 2025 Copinha
Ferroviaria U20 vs Santos U20
2:1
Jan 14, 2022 Copinha
Ferroviaria U20 vs Santos U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviaria U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolas Silva
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Santos U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus Xavier
1 Goals
Assists Leader Assis G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria U20 40 / 100
Santos U20 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria U20 Santos U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ferroviaria U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ferroviaria U20 attacking → ← attacking Santos U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviaria U20 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Santos U20 let in goals in 63% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Ferroviaria U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Santos U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 74
1.60 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.20 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88