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Ferroviaria vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Arena Fonte Luminosa
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Pinheiro C.
27'
Ricardinho
29'
Warley Jr

AI Match Summary

Ferroviaria host Barra FC (Santa Catarina) in the Serie C. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Ferroviaria have averaged 1 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against Barra FC (Santa Catarina)'s 0.63 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Ferroviaria have won 1 to Barra FC (Santa Catarina)'s 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 15, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.13 - 0.56) back Ferroviaria to edge this. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Ferroviaria
11%
Draws
9%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferroviaria has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Barra FC (Santa Catarina).
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Ferroviaria.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie C provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 68%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitor Barreto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria 86 / 100
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviaria scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Ferroviaria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria VS Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brusque1373320:1424
2Guarani1365223:1123
3Internacional de Limeira1364316:1422
4Santa Cruz1363413:921
5Paysandu PA1362519:1720
6SER Caxias do Sul1355313:1020
7Botafogo PB1361617:1519
8Maringa FC1354426:2419
9Ituano1354415:1319
10Floresta EC1354415:1419
11Ferroviaria1354412:1119
12Ypiranga FC1353516:1718
13Amazonas1352613:1817
14Volta Redonda1352610:1517
15Figueirense1344512:1816
16Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1336416:1415
17Maranhao133559:1314
18Itabaiana1334611:1713
19Confianca133288:1211
20Anapolis132389:179