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Ferroviaria vs Brusque Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Arena Fonte Luminosa, Araraquara
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Gazao
23'
Rafael Carillho
26'
Sub
Gustavo Medina In: Carlao
Out: Gustavo Medina

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Ferroviaria and Brusque finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ferroviaria
35%
Draws
23%
Brusque
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Brusque haven't matched Ferroviaria's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ferroviaria's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ferroviaria have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 68%
Brusque Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria Brusque
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie C
Brusque vs Ferroviaria
1:1
Sep 20, 2026 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Brusque
3:2
May 17, 2026 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Brusque
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Maranhao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vitor Barreto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Brusque Compare

Top Goalscorer Marlyson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cipriano
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria 50 / 100
Brusque 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria Brusque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusque's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Ferroviaria went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ferroviaria found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria VS Brusque
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviaria

(Home)
27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1
Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2
Brusque
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
05 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
3 : 3
Ferroviaria
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Confianca
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Brusque

(Away)
27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1
Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2
Brusque
13 Sept
Brusque
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Brusque
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 4 2 2 0 8:6 8
2 Internacional de Limeira 4 1 3 0 9:7 6
3 Brusque 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
4 Paysandu PA 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
2 Maringa FC 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
3 Floresta EC 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
4 Botafogo PB 4 0 1 3 0:4 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)