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Ferroviaria vs Maranhao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Arena Fonte Luminosa, Araraquara
Ferroviaria Logo

Ferroviaria

0 - 0
FT
Maranhao Logo

Maranhao

Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Erverson
45'
Vitor Barreto
46'
Sub
Erverson In: Felipe Cruz
Out: Erverson
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Ferroviaria and Maranhao finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ferroviaria
30%
Draws
39%
Maranhao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maranhao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Maranhao haven't matched Ferroviaria's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 21%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria Maranhao
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.14 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Maranhao
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria 32 / 100
Maranhao 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria Maranhao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maranhao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ferroviaria scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Maranhao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Ferroviaria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria VS Maranhao
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviaria

(Home)
03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1
Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2
Brusque
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
05 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
3 : 3
Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 6

Maranhao

(Away)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1
Maranhao
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1
Itabaiana
15 Aug
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Maranhao
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1
Brusque
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0
Maranhao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)