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Ferroviaria vs Maranhao

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Arena Fonte Luminosa, Araraquara
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Erverson
45'
Vitor Barreto
46'
Sub
Erverson In: Felipe Cruz
Out: Erverson

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Ferroviaria and Maranhao finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Ferroviaria
22%
Draws
18%
Maranhao
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Maranhao haven't matched Ferroviaria's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ferroviaria's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 68%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria Maranhao
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Maranhao
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria 68 / 100
Maranhao 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria Maranhao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ferroviaria scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Maranhao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Ferroviaria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria VS Maranhao
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviaria

(Home)
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0
Maranhao
12 Jul
Ituano
1 : 3
Ferroviaria
04 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 1
SER Caxias do Sul
27 Jun
Itabaiana
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
21 Jun
Ferroviaria
2 : 0
Internacional de Limeira
Page 1 of 7

Maranhao

(Away)
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0
Maranhao
12 Jul
Maranhao
2 : 1
Ypiranga FC
04 Jul
Maranhao
0 : 1
Internacional de Limeira
28 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0
Maranhao
21 Jun
Maranhao
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brusque1583421:1527
2Guarani1575328:1526
3Botafogo PB1581621:1625
4Internacional de Limeira1574418:1725
5Santa Cruz1573515:1124
6Paysandu PA1572623:2123
7Maringa FC1565428:2523
8Ferroviaria1565415:1223
9Ypiranga FC1563618:1921
10SER Caxias do Sul1556414:1221
11Floresta EC1556416:1521
12Amazonas1562715:2020
13Figueirense1555513:1820
14Ituano1554616:1719
15Volta Redonda1553711:1918
16Maranhao1546511:1418
17Itabaiana1545613:1817
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1536617:1715
19Anapolis1533913:1912
20Confianca153399:1512
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)